Imports#
from datetime import datetime
import pandas as pd
from diive.core.io.files import load_parquet, save_parquet
from diive.pkgs.gapfilling.xgboost_ts import XGBoostTS
Load data#
df = load_parquet(filepath="17.1_CH-CHA_meteo10_2005-2024.parquet")
df
Loaded .parquet file 17.1_CH-CHA_meteo10_2005-2024.parquet (0.048 seconds).
--> Detected time resolution of <30 * Minutes> / 30min
LW_IN_T1_2_1 | PA_GF1_0.9_1 | FLAG_PA_GF1_0.9_1_ISFILLED | PPFD_IN_T1_2_2 | FLAG_PPFD_IN_T1_2_2_ISFILLED | VPD_T1_2_1 | ... | SWC_GF1_0.75_1 | TS_GF1_0.04_1 | TS_GF1_0.15_1 | TS_GF1_0.4_1 | FLAG_PREC_RAIN_TOT_GF1_0.5_1_FLUXNET_ISFILLED | TIMESINCE_PREC_RAIN_TOT_GF1_0.5_1 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TIMESTAMP_MIDDLE | |||||||||||||
2005-01-01 00:15:00 | NaN | 978.100000 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.099893 | ... | NaN | NaN | NaN | NaN | NaN | 1 |
2005-01-01 00:45:00 | NaN | 977.933333 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.097606 | ... | NaN | NaN | NaN | NaN | NaN | 2 |
2005-01-01 01:15:00 | NaN | 977.900000 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.091683 | ... | NaN | NaN | NaN | NaN | NaN | 0 |
2005-01-01 01:45:00 | NaN | 977.833333 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.071157 | ... | NaN | NaN | NaN | NaN | NaN | 1 |
2005-01-01 02:15:00 | NaN | 977.833333 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.058333 | ... | NaN | NaN | NaN | NaN | NaN | 0 |
... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
2024-12-31 21:45:00 | 304.613900 | 983.370890 | NaN | 0.0 | 0 | 0.000011 | ... | 45.120877 | 3.474346 | 4.437078 | 5.528727 | NaN | 380 |
2024-12-31 22:15:00 | 303.039890 | 983.052160 | NaN | 0.0 | 0 | 0.000011 | ... | 45.144937 | 3.428224 | 4.440415 | 5.521962 | NaN | 381 |
2024-12-31 22:45:00 | 302.093633 | 982.851140 | NaN | 0.0 | 0 | 0.000011 | ... | 45.152280 | 3.384733 | 4.443751 | 5.523991 | NaN | 382 |
2024-12-31 23:15:00 | 302.217307 | 982.896827 | NaN | 0.0 | 0 | 0.000010 | ... | 45.095043 | 3.349179 | 4.439747 | 5.528050 | NaN | 383 |
2024-12-31 23:45:00 | 298.392973 | 982.856613 | NaN | 0.0 | 0 | 0.000010 | ... | 45.278093 | 3.316919 | 4.442417 | 5.523991 | NaN | 384 |
350640 rows × 23 columns
Gap-filling TS
#
[print(c) for c in df if "TS_" in c];
TS_GF1_0.04_1
TS_GF1_0.15_1
TS_GF1_0.4_1
Fill TS_GF1_0.04_1
#
TARGET_COL = 'TS_GF1_0.04_1'
TARGET_GAPFILLED_COL = f'{TARGET_COL}_gfXG'
FLAG_GAPFILLED_COL = f'FLAG_{TARGET_GAPFILLED_COL}_ISFILLED'
# Dataframe for gap-filling
_df = pd.DataFrame()
_df[TARGET_COL] = df[TARGET_COL].copy()
_df['TA_T1_2_1'] = df['TA_T1_2_1'].copy()
# XGBoost
xgb = XGBoostTS(
input_df=_df,
target_col=TARGET_COL,
features_lag=[-5, -1],
features_lag_exclude_cols=None,
perm_n_repeats=10,
include_timestamp_as_features=True,
add_continuous_record_number=True,
n_estimators=1000,
random_state=42,
early_stopping_rounds=50,
n_jobs=-1
)
xgb.trainmodel(showplot_scores=False, showplot_importance=False)
xgb.report_traintest()
xgb.fillgaps(showplot_scores=False, showplot_importance=False)
xgb.report_gapfilling()
results = xgb.gapfilling_df_
# Add results to main data
df = pd.concat([df, results[[TARGET_GAPFILLED_COL, FLAG_GAPFILLED_COL]]], axis=1)
# Plot
plotdf = df[[TARGET_COL, TARGET_GAPFILLED_COL, FLAG_GAPFILLED_COL]].copy()
plotdf.plot(x_compat=True, title=TARGET_COL, subplots=True, figsize=(20, 6));
locs = (plotdf.index.year == 2011) & (plotdf.index.month == 8)
plotdf[locs].plot(x_compat=True, title=TARGET_COL, subplots=True, figsize=(20, 6));
Adding new data columns ...
++ Added new columns with timestamp info: ['.YEAR', '.SEASON', '.MONTH', '.WEEK', '.DOY', '.HOUR', '.YEARMONTH', '.YEARDOY', '.YEARWEEK']
++ Added new column .RECORDNUMBER with record numbers from 1 to 350640.
Training final model ...
>>> Training model <class 'xgboost.sklearn.XGBRegressor'> based on data between 2005-09-09 10:15:00 and 2024-12-31 23:15:00 ...
>>> Fitting model to training data ...
[0] validation_0-rmse:4.77951 validation_1-rmse:4.77196
[1] validation_0-rmse:3.50458 validation_1-rmse:3.49880
[2] validation_0-rmse:2.64362 validation_1-rmse:2.64112
[3] validation_0-rmse:2.07531 validation_1-rmse:2.07526
[4] validation_0-rmse:1.70842 validation_1-rmse:1.71063
[5] validation_0-rmse:1.47499 validation_1-rmse:1.47882
[6] validation_0-rmse:1.33445 validation_1-rmse:1.33946
[7] validation_0-rmse:1.22991 validation_1-rmse:1.23687
[8] validation_0-rmse:1.16118 validation_1-rmse:1.16975
[9] validation_0-rmse:1.11181 validation_1-rmse:1.12216
[10] validation_0-rmse:1.07220 validation_1-rmse:1.08290
[11] validation_0-rmse:1.04681 validation_1-rmse:1.05823
[12] validation_0-rmse:1.01730 validation_1-rmse:1.02939
[13] validation_0-rmse:0.99110 validation_1-rmse:1.00399
[14] validation_0-rmse:0.96122 validation_1-rmse:0.97487
[15] validation_0-rmse:0.95195 validation_1-rmse:0.96584
[16] validation_0-rmse:0.93773 validation_1-rmse:0.95178
[17] validation_0-rmse:0.92262 validation_1-rmse:0.93705
[18] validation_0-rmse:0.91796 validation_1-rmse:0.93260
[19] validation_0-rmse:0.90913 validation_1-rmse:0.92432
[20] validation_0-rmse:0.89492 validation_1-rmse:0.91017
[21] validation_0-rmse:0.88829 validation_1-rmse:0.90392
[22] validation_0-rmse:0.87392 validation_1-rmse:0.88977
[23] validation_0-rmse:0.86861 validation_1-rmse:0.88474
[24] validation_0-rmse:0.86132 validation_1-rmse:0.87797
[25] validation_0-rmse:0.85329 validation_1-rmse:0.87001
[26] validation_0-rmse:0.84629 validation_1-rmse:0.86399
[27] validation_0-rmse:0.84228 validation_1-rmse:0.86025
[28] validation_0-rmse:0.82948 validation_1-rmse:0.84766
[29] validation_0-rmse:0.82443 validation_1-rmse:0.84259
[30] validation_0-rmse:0.81865 validation_1-rmse:0.83697
[31] validation_0-rmse:0.81032 validation_1-rmse:0.82826
[32] validation_0-rmse:0.80613 validation_1-rmse:0.82463
[33] validation_0-rmse:0.79825 validation_1-rmse:0.81654
[34] validation_0-rmse:0.79385 validation_1-rmse:0.81247
[35] validation_0-rmse:0.78938 validation_1-rmse:0.80817
[36] validation_0-rmse:0.78403 validation_1-rmse:0.80279
[37] validation_0-rmse:0.77763 validation_1-rmse:0.79578
[38] validation_0-rmse:0.77188 validation_1-rmse:0.79002
[39] validation_0-rmse:0.76876 validation_1-rmse:0.78732
[40] validation_0-rmse:0.76482 validation_1-rmse:0.78360
[41] validation_0-rmse:0.76153 validation_1-rmse:0.78042
[42] validation_0-rmse:0.75761 validation_1-rmse:0.77662
[43] validation_0-rmse:0.75505 validation_1-rmse:0.77429
[44] validation_0-rmse:0.74784 validation_1-rmse:0.76718
[45] validation_0-rmse:0.74436 validation_1-rmse:0.76362
[46] validation_0-rmse:0.74161 validation_1-rmse:0.76113
[47] validation_0-rmse:0.73874 validation_1-rmse:0.75835
[48] validation_0-rmse:0.73685 validation_1-rmse:0.75670
[49] validation_0-rmse:0.72998 validation_1-rmse:0.74995
[50] validation_0-rmse:0.72732 validation_1-rmse:0.74729
[51] validation_0-rmse:0.72496 validation_1-rmse:0.74508
[52] validation_0-rmse:0.72322 validation_1-rmse:0.74357
[53] validation_0-rmse:0.71648 validation_1-rmse:0.73696
[54] validation_0-rmse:0.71215 validation_1-rmse:0.73274
[55] validation_0-rmse:0.70946 validation_1-rmse:0.73034
[56] validation_0-rmse:0.70474 validation_1-rmse:0.72589
[57] validation_0-rmse:0.70225 validation_1-rmse:0.72381
[58] validation_0-rmse:0.69904 validation_1-rmse:0.72064
[59] validation_0-rmse:0.69714 validation_1-rmse:0.71883
[60] validation_0-rmse:0.69561 validation_1-rmse:0.71744
[61] validation_0-rmse:0.69325 validation_1-rmse:0.71524
[62] validation_0-rmse:0.69104 validation_1-rmse:0.71305
[63] validation_0-rmse:0.69006 validation_1-rmse:0.71232
[64] validation_0-rmse:0.68818 validation_1-rmse:0.71033
[65] validation_0-rmse:0.68616 validation_1-rmse:0.70841
[66] validation_0-rmse:0.68262 validation_1-rmse:0.70526
[67] validation_0-rmse:0.68176 validation_1-rmse:0.70447
[68] validation_0-rmse:0.67850 validation_1-rmse:0.70120
[69] validation_0-rmse:0.67641 validation_1-rmse:0.69928
[70] validation_0-rmse:0.67258 validation_1-rmse:0.69567
[71] validation_0-rmse:0.67036 validation_1-rmse:0.69351
[72] validation_0-rmse:0.66815 validation_1-rmse:0.69125
[73] validation_0-rmse:0.66614 validation_1-rmse:0.68928
[74] validation_0-rmse:0.66432 validation_1-rmse:0.68760
[75] validation_0-rmse:0.66248 validation_1-rmse:0.68610
[76] validation_0-rmse:0.65946 validation_1-rmse:0.68334
[77] validation_0-rmse:0.65517 validation_1-rmse:0.67913
[78] validation_0-rmse:0.65370 validation_1-rmse:0.67769
[79] validation_0-rmse:0.65207 validation_1-rmse:0.67613
[80] validation_0-rmse:0.64983 validation_1-rmse:0.67398
[81] validation_0-rmse:0.64652 validation_1-rmse:0.67057
[82] validation_0-rmse:0.64520 validation_1-rmse:0.66954
[83] validation_0-rmse:0.64431 validation_1-rmse:0.66872
[84] validation_0-rmse:0.64233 validation_1-rmse:0.66684
[85] validation_0-rmse:0.63975 validation_1-rmse:0.66435
[86] validation_0-rmse:0.63599 validation_1-rmse:0.66079
[87] validation_0-rmse:0.63434 validation_1-rmse:0.65934
[88] validation_0-rmse:0.63354 validation_1-rmse:0.65869
[89] validation_0-rmse:0.63196 validation_1-rmse:0.65723
[90] validation_0-rmse:0.63117 validation_1-rmse:0.65674
[91] validation_0-rmse:0.62832 validation_1-rmse:0.65397
[92] validation_0-rmse:0.62586 validation_1-rmse:0.65173
[93] validation_0-rmse:0.62409 validation_1-rmse:0.65037
[94] validation_0-rmse:0.62341 validation_1-rmse:0.64970
[95] validation_0-rmse:0.62245 validation_1-rmse:0.64880
[96] validation_0-rmse:0.62052 validation_1-rmse:0.64689
[97] validation_0-rmse:0.61910 validation_1-rmse:0.64546
[98] validation_0-rmse:0.61797 validation_1-rmse:0.64444
[99] validation_0-rmse:0.61731 validation_1-rmse:0.64395
[100] validation_0-rmse:0.61527 validation_1-rmse:0.64188
[101] validation_0-rmse:0.61252 validation_1-rmse:0.63920
[102] validation_0-rmse:0.61040 validation_1-rmse:0.63729
[103] validation_0-rmse:0.60781 validation_1-rmse:0.63474
[104] validation_0-rmse:0.60627 validation_1-rmse:0.63318
[105] validation_0-rmse:0.60525 validation_1-rmse:0.63230
[106] validation_0-rmse:0.60465 validation_1-rmse:0.63181
[107] validation_0-rmse:0.60387 validation_1-rmse:0.63126
[108] validation_0-rmse:0.60238 validation_1-rmse:0.62979
[109] validation_0-rmse:0.60132 validation_1-rmse:0.62888
[110] validation_0-rmse:0.59925 validation_1-rmse:0.62682
[111] validation_0-rmse:0.59744 validation_1-rmse:0.62498
[112] validation_0-rmse:0.59614 validation_1-rmse:0.62372
[113] validation_0-rmse:0.59443 validation_1-rmse:0.62208
[114] validation_0-rmse:0.59319 validation_1-rmse:0.62098
[115] validation_0-rmse:0.59276 validation_1-rmse:0.62057
[116] validation_0-rmse:0.59202 validation_1-rmse:0.61992
[117] validation_0-rmse:0.59066 validation_1-rmse:0.61868
[118] validation_0-rmse:0.58772 validation_1-rmse:0.61593
[119] validation_0-rmse:0.58679 validation_1-rmse:0.61514
[120] validation_0-rmse:0.58513 validation_1-rmse:0.61358
[121] validation_0-rmse:0.58457 validation_1-rmse:0.61312
[122] validation_0-rmse:0.58340 validation_1-rmse:0.61209
[123] validation_0-rmse:0.58187 validation_1-rmse:0.61061
[124] validation_0-rmse:0.58081 validation_1-rmse:0.60963
[125] validation_0-rmse:0.57979 validation_1-rmse:0.60856
[126] validation_0-rmse:0.57889 validation_1-rmse:0.60784
[127] validation_0-rmse:0.57697 validation_1-rmse:0.60598
[128] validation_0-rmse:0.57600 validation_1-rmse:0.60515
[129] validation_0-rmse:0.57439 validation_1-rmse:0.60353
[130] validation_0-rmse:0.57260 validation_1-rmse:0.60175
[131] validation_0-rmse:0.57148 validation_1-rmse:0.60074
[132] validation_0-rmse:0.57023 validation_1-rmse:0.59937
[133] validation_0-rmse:0.56945 validation_1-rmse:0.59871
[134] validation_0-rmse:0.56755 validation_1-rmse:0.59693
[135] validation_0-rmse:0.56638 validation_1-rmse:0.59581
[136] validation_0-rmse:0.56540 validation_1-rmse:0.59494
[137] validation_0-rmse:0.56342 validation_1-rmse:0.59283
[138] validation_0-rmse:0.56237 validation_1-rmse:0.59187
[139] validation_0-rmse:0.56056 validation_1-rmse:0.59030
[140] validation_0-rmse:0.55908 validation_1-rmse:0.58884
[141] validation_0-rmse:0.55815 validation_1-rmse:0.58791
[142] validation_0-rmse:0.55539 validation_1-rmse:0.58534
[143] validation_0-rmse:0.55494 validation_1-rmse:0.58503
[144] validation_0-rmse:0.55366 validation_1-rmse:0.58394
[145] validation_0-rmse:0.55179 validation_1-rmse:0.58223
[146] validation_0-rmse:0.55087 validation_1-rmse:0.58146
[147] validation_0-rmse:0.54980 validation_1-rmse:0.58060
[148] validation_0-rmse:0.54936 validation_1-rmse:0.58024
[149] validation_0-rmse:0.54801 validation_1-rmse:0.57895
[150] validation_0-rmse:0.54743 validation_1-rmse:0.57849
[151] validation_0-rmse:0.54691 validation_1-rmse:0.57810
[152] validation_0-rmse:0.54565 validation_1-rmse:0.57695
[153] validation_0-rmse:0.54435 validation_1-rmse:0.57570
[154] validation_0-rmse:0.54369 validation_1-rmse:0.57506
[155] validation_0-rmse:0.54322 validation_1-rmse:0.57480
[156] validation_0-rmse:0.54236 validation_1-rmse:0.57402
[157] validation_0-rmse:0.54100 validation_1-rmse:0.57250
[158] validation_0-rmse:0.53975 validation_1-rmse:0.57124
[159] validation_0-rmse:0.53739 validation_1-rmse:0.56911
[160] validation_0-rmse:0.53583 validation_1-rmse:0.56773
[161] validation_0-rmse:0.53499 validation_1-rmse:0.56688
[162] validation_0-rmse:0.53361 validation_1-rmse:0.56559
[163] validation_0-rmse:0.53284 validation_1-rmse:0.56496
[164] validation_0-rmse:0.53238 validation_1-rmse:0.56460
[165] validation_0-rmse:0.53147 validation_1-rmse:0.56377
[166] validation_0-rmse:0.53066 validation_1-rmse:0.56313
[167] validation_0-rmse:0.53004 validation_1-rmse:0.56264
[168] validation_0-rmse:0.52918 validation_1-rmse:0.56191
[169] validation_0-rmse:0.52860 validation_1-rmse:0.56138
[170] validation_0-rmse:0.52758 validation_1-rmse:0.56042
[171] validation_0-rmse:0.52702 validation_1-rmse:0.56010
[172] validation_0-rmse:0.52610 validation_1-rmse:0.55931
[173] validation_0-rmse:0.52566 validation_1-rmse:0.55887
[174] validation_0-rmse:0.52498 validation_1-rmse:0.55828
[175] validation_0-rmse:0.52393 validation_1-rmse:0.55722
[176] validation_0-rmse:0.52274 validation_1-rmse:0.55596
[177] validation_0-rmse:0.52195 validation_1-rmse:0.55522
[178] validation_0-rmse:0.52111 validation_1-rmse:0.55448
[179] validation_0-rmse:0.52027 validation_1-rmse:0.55378
[180] validation_0-rmse:0.51952 validation_1-rmse:0.55308
[181] validation_0-rmse:0.51820 validation_1-rmse:0.55167
[182] validation_0-rmse:0.51790 validation_1-rmse:0.55143
[183] validation_0-rmse:0.51714 validation_1-rmse:0.55076
[184] validation_0-rmse:0.51572 validation_1-rmse:0.54942
[185] validation_0-rmse:0.51481 validation_1-rmse:0.54854
[186] validation_0-rmse:0.51370 validation_1-rmse:0.54776
[187] validation_0-rmse:0.51299 validation_1-rmse:0.54706
[188] validation_0-rmse:0.51258 validation_1-rmse:0.54691
[189] validation_0-rmse:0.51219 validation_1-rmse:0.54664
[190] validation_0-rmse:0.51169 validation_1-rmse:0.54624
[191] validation_0-rmse:0.51034 validation_1-rmse:0.54494
[192] validation_0-rmse:0.50941 validation_1-rmse:0.54410
[193] validation_0-rmse:0.50858 validation_1-rmse:0.54330
[194] validation_0-rmse:0.50823 validation_1-rmse:0.54313
[195] validation_0-rmse:0.50607 validation_1-rmse:0.54109
[196] validation_0-rmse:0.50546 validation_1-rmse:0.54068
[197] validation_0-rmse:0.50382 validation_1-rmse:0.53909
[198] validation_0-rmse:0.50290 validation_1-rmse:0.53810
[199] validation_0-rmse:0.50191 validation_1-rmse:0.53701
[200] validation_0-rmse:0.50105 validation_1-rmse:0.53611
[201] validation_0-rmse:0.50018 validation_1-rmse:0.53536
[202] validation_0-rmse:0.49996 validation_1-rmse:0.53517
[203] validation_0-rmse:0.49947 validation_1-rmse:0.53483
[204] validation_0-rmse:0.49840 validation_1-rmse:0.53381
[205] validation_0-rmse:0.49784 validation_1-rmse:0.53337
[206] validation_0-rmse:0.49677 validation_1-rmse:0.53233
[207] validation_0-rmse:0.49617 validation_1-rmse:0.53182
[208] validation_0-rmse:0.49521 validation_1-rmse:0.53093
[209] validation_0-rmse:0.49405 validation_1-rmse:0.52983
[210] validation_0-rmse:0.49375 validation_1-rmse:0.52961
[211] validation_0-rmse:0.49340 validation_1-rmse:0.52934
[212] validation_0-rmse:0.49237 validation_1-rmse:0.52840
[213] validation_0-rmse:0.49193 validation_1-rmse:0.52802
[214] validation_0-rmse:0.49094 validation_1-rmse:0.52707
[215] validation_0-rmse:0.49013 validation_1-rmse:0.52641
[216] validation_0-rmse:0.48965 validation_1-rmse:0.52600
[217] validation_0-rmse:0.48737 validation_1-rmse:0.52383
[218] validation_0-rmse:0.48710 validation_1-rmse:0.52363
[219] validation_0-rmse:0.48586 validation_1-rmse:0.52233
[220] validation_0-rmse:0.48473 validation_1-rmse:0.52122
[221] validation_0-rmse:0.48404 validation_1-rmse:0.52058
[222] validation_0-rmse:0.48273 validation_1-rmse:0.51926
[223] validation_0-rmse:0.48212 validation_1-rmse:0.51873
[224] validation_0-rmse:0.48177 validation_1-rmse:0.51840
[225] validation_0-rmse:0.48123 validation_1-rmse:0.51803
[226] validation_0-rmse:0.48067 validation_1-rmse:0.51755
[227] validation_0-rmse:0.47945 validation_1-rmse:0.51643
[228] validation_0-rmse:0.47778 validation_1-rmse:0.51475
[229] validation_0-rmse:0.47737 validation_1-rmse:0.51443
[230] validation_0-rmse:0.47615 validation_1-rmse:0.51315
[231] validation_0-rmse:0.47549 validation_1-rmse:0.51263
[232] validation_0-rmse:0.47475 validation_1-rmse:0.51183
[233] validation_0-rmse:0.47406 validation_1-rmse:0.51118
[234] validation_0-rmse:0.47367 validation_1-rmse:0.51092
[235] validation_0-rmse:0.47265 validation_1-rmse:0.51004
[236] validation_0-rmse:0.47141 validation_1-rmse:0.50888
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[835] validation_0-rmse:0.29111 validation_1-rmse:0.36404
[836] validation_0-rmse:0.29097 validation_1-rmse:0.36402
[837] validation_0-rmse:0.29074 validation_1-rmse:0.36386
[838] validation_0-rmse:0.29066 validation_1-rmse:0.36380
[839] validation_0-rmse:0.29048 validation_1-rmse:0.36366
[840] validation_0-rmse:0.29038 validation_1-rmse:0.36362
[841] validation_0-rmse:0.29019 validation_1-rmse:0.36343
[842] validation_0-rmse:0.28998 validation_1-rmse:0.36329
[843] validation_0-rmse:0.28979 validation_1-rmse:0.36311
[844] validation_0-rmse:0.28957 validation_1-rmse:0.36300
[845] validation_0-rmse:0.28945 validation_1-rmse:0.36290
[846] validation_0-rmse:0.28933 validation_1-rmse:0.36281
[847] validation_0-rmse:0.28930 validation_1-rmse:0.36278
[848] validation_0-rmse:0.28912 validation_1-rmse:0.36261
[849] validation_0-rmse:0.28899 validation_1-rmse:0.36258
[850] validation_0-rmse:0.28894 validation_1-rmse:0.36254
[851] validation_0-rmse:0.28880 validation_1-rmse:0.36248
[852] validation_0-rmse:0.28869 validation_1-rmse:0.36249
[853] validation_0-rmse:0.28848 validation_1-rmse:0.36233
[854] validation_0-rmse:0.28831 validation_1-rmse:0.36220
[855] validation_0-rmse:0.28814 validation_1-rmse:0.36209
[856] validation_0-rmse:0.28796 validation_1-rmse:0.36195
[857] validation_0-rmse:0.28787 validation_1-rmse:0.36195
[858] validation_0-rmse:0.28772 validation_1-rmse:0.36186
[859] validation_0-rmse:0.28757 validation_1-rmse:0.36168
[860] validation_0-rmse:0.28742 validation_1-rmse:0.36162
[861] validation_0-rmse:0.28725 validation_1-rmse:0.36151
[862] validation_0-rmse:0.28721 validation_1-rmse:0.36150
[863] validation_0-rmse:0.28709 validation_1-rmse:0.36139
[864] validation_0-rmse:0.28698 validation_1-rmse:0.36134
[865] validation_0-rmse:0.28687 validation_1-rmse:0.36125
[866] validation_0-rmse:0.28673 validation_1-rmse:0.36116
[867] validation_0-rmse:0.28666 validation_1-rmse:0.36116
[868] validation_0-rmse:0.28660 validation_1-rmse:0.36114
[869] validation_0-rmse:0.28647 validation_1-rmse:0.36107
[870] validation_0-rmse:0.28626 validation_1-rmse:0.36088
[871] validation_0-rmse:0.28616 validation_1-rmse:0.36083
[872] validation_0-rmse:0.28606 validation_1-rmse:0.36081
[873] validation_0-rmse:0.28590 validation_1-rmse:0.36068
[874] validation_0-rmse:0.28581 validation_1-rmse:0.36064
[875] validation_0-rmse:0.28565 validation_1-rmse:0.36052
[876] validation_0-rmse:0.28555 validation_1-rmse:0.36049
[877] validation_0-rmse:0.28533 validation_1-rmse:0.36037
[878] validation_0-rmse:0.28521 validation_1-rmse:0.36029
[879] validation_0-rmse:0.28508 validation_1-rmse:0.36021
[880] validation_0-rmse:0.28493 validation_1-rmse:0.36013
[881] validation_0-rmse:0.28482 validation_1-rmse:0.36009
[882] validation_0-rmse:0.28465 validation_1-rmse:0.36000
[883] validation_0-rmse:0.28437 validation_1-rmse:0.35975
[884] validation_0-rmse:0.28418 validation_1-rmse:0.35958
[885] validation_0-rmse:0.28409 validation_1-rmse:0.35954
[886] validation_0-rmse:0.28404 validation_1-rmse:0.35952
[887] validation_0-rmse:0.28393 validation_1-rmse:0.35945
[888] validation_0-rmse:0.28380 validation_1-rmse:0.35936
[889] validation_0-rmse:0.28376 validation_1-rmse:0.35935
[890] validation_0-rmse:0.28369 validation_1-rmse:0.35932
[891] validation_0-rmse:0.28366 validation_1-rmse:0.35930
[892] validation_0-rmse:0.28356 validation_1-rmse:0.35920
[893] validation_0-rmse:0.28348 validation_1-rmse:0.35918
[894] validation_0-rmse:0.28327 validation_1-rmse:0.35894
[895] validation_0-rmse:0.28320 validation_1-rmse:0.35891
[896] validation_0-rmse:0.28309 validation_1-rmse:0.35883
[897] validation_0-rmse:0.28291 validation_1-rmse:0.35867
[898] validation_0-rmse:0.28285 validation_1-rmse:0.35864
[899] validation_0-rmse:0.28274 validation_1-rmse:0.35857
[900] validation_0-rmse:0.28270 validation_1-rmse:0.35857
[901] validation_0-rmse:0.28253 validation_1-rmse:0.35845
[902] validation_0-rmse:0.28246 validation_1-rmse:0.35845
[903] validation_0-rmse:0.28226 validation_1-rmse:0.35829
[904] validation_0-rmse:0.28211 validation_1-rmse:0.35820
[905] validation_0-rmse:0.28199 validation_1-rmse:0.35808
[906] validation_0-rmse:0.28189 validation_1-rmse:0.35797
[907] validation_0-rmse:0.28177 validation_1-rmse:0.35793
[908] validation_0-rmse:0.28154 validation_1-rmse:0.35779
[909] validation_0-rmse:0.28137 validation_1-rmse:0.35768
[910] validation_0-rmse:0.28115 validation_1-rmse:0.35753
[911] validation_0-rmse:0.28109 validation_1-rmse:0.35749
[912] validation_0-rmse:0.28101 validation_1-rmse:0.35741
[913] validation_0-rmse:0.28092 validation_1-rmse:0.35743
[914] validation_0-rmse:0.28085 validation_1-rmse:0.35740
[915] validation_0-rmse:0.28083 validation_1-rmse:0.35739
[916] validation_0-rmse:0.28079 validation_1-rmse:0.35739
[917] validation_0-rmse:0.28069 validation_1-rmse:0.35733
[918] validation_0-rmse:0.28059 validation_1-rmse:0.35729
[919] validation_0-rmse:0.28052 validation_1-rmse:0.35726
[920] validation_0-rmse:0.28045 validation_1-rmse:0.35725
[921] validation_0-rmse:0.28030 validation_1-rmse:0.35713
[922] validation_0-rmse:0.28017 validation_1-rmse:0.35701
[923] validation_0-rmse:0.27998 validation_1-rmse:0.35688
[924] validation_0-rmse:0.27990 validation_1-rmse:0.35686
[925] validation_0-rmse:0.27983 validation_1-rmse:0.35684
[926] validation_0-rmse:0.27976 validation_1-rmse:0.35683
[927] validation_0-rmse:0.27961 validation_1-rmse:0.35669
[928] validation_0-rmse:0.27958 validation_1-rmse:0.35668
[929] validation_0-rmse:0.27945 validation_1-rmse:0.35660
[930] validation_0-rmse:0.27930 validation_1-rmse:0.35652
[931] validation_0-rmse:0.27906 validation_1-rmse:0.35629
[932] validation_0-rmse:0.27887 validation_1-rmse:0.35619
[933] validation_0-rmse:0.27872 validation_1-rmse:0.35611
[934] validation_0-rmse:0.27854 validation_1-rmse:0.35597
[935] validation_0-rmse:0.27850 validation_1-rmse:0.35596
[936] validation_0-rmse:0.27842 validation_1-rmse:0.35591
[937] validation_0-rmse:0.27827 validation_1-rmse:0.35575
[938] validation_0-rmse:0.27816 validation_1-rmse:0.35569
[939] validation_0-rmse:0.27806 validation_1-rmse:0.35572
[940] validation_0-rmse:0.27778 validation_1-rmse:0.35552
[941] validation_0-rmse:0.27768 validation_1-rmse:0.35546
[942] validation_0-rmse:0.27761 validation_1-rmse:0.35541
[943] validation_0-rmse:0.27747 validation_1-rmse:0.35533
[944] validation_0-rmse:0.27743 validation_1-rmse:0.35532
[945] validation_0-rmse:0.27731 validation_1-rmse:0.35526
[946] validation_0-rmse:0.27719 validation_1-rmse:0.35517
[947] validation_0-rmse:0.27716 validation_1-rmse:0.35516
[948] validation_0-rmse:0.27706 validation_1-rmse:0.35511
[949] validation_0-rmse:0.27686 validation_1-rmse:0.35497
[950] validation_0-rmse:0.27678 validation_1-rmse:0.35495
[951] validation_0-rmse:0.27662 validation_1-rmse:0.35484
[952] validation_0-rmse:0.27655 validation_1-rmse:0.35480
[953] validation_0-rmse:0.27649 validation_1-rmse:0.35476
[954] validation_0-rmse:0.27640 validation_1-rmse:0.35473
[955] validation_0-rmse:0.27633 validation_1-rmse:0.35471
[956] validation_0-rmse:0.27626 validation_1-rmse:0.35473
[957] validation_0-rmse:0.27619 validation_1-rmse:0.35467
[958] validation_0-rmse:0.27604 validation_1-rmse:0.35459
[959] validation_0-rmse:0.27583 validation_1-rmse:0.35444
[960] validation_0-rmse:0.27582 validation_1-rmse:0.35443
[961] validation_0-rmse:0.27561 validation_1-rmse:0.35432
[962] validation_0-rmse:0.27537 validation_1-rmse:0.35414
[963] validation_0-rmse:0.27531 validation_1-rmse:0.35415
[964] validation_0-rmse:0.27512 validation_1-rmse:0.35399
[965] validation_0-rmse:0.27499 validation_1-rmse:0.35390
[966] validation_0-rmse:0.27489 validation_1-rmse:0.35385
[967] validation_0-rmse:0.27476 validation_1-rmse:0.35376
[968] validation_0-rmse:0.27460 validation_1-rmse:0.35366
[969] validation_0-rmse:0.27444 validation_1-rmse:0.35355
[970] validation_0-rmse:0.27441 validation_1-rmse:0.35354
[971] validation_0-rmse:0.27432 validation_1-rmse:0.35348
[972] validation_0-rmse:0.27426 validation_1-rmse:0.35348
[973] validation_0-rmse:0.27405 validation_1-rmse:0.35335
[974] validation_0-rmse:0.27396 validation_1-rmse:0.35334
[975] validation_0-rmse:0.27374 validation_1-rmse:0.35309
[976] validation_0-rmse:0.27370 validation_1-rmse:0.35307
[977] validation_0-rmse:0.27347 validation_1-rmse:0.35287
[978] validation_0-rmse:0.27339 validation_1-rmse:0.35282
[979] validation_0-rmse:0.27310 validation_1-rmse:0.35251
[980] validation_0-rmse:0.27304 validation_1-rmse:0.35248
[981] validation_0-rmse:0.27295 validation_1-rmse:0.35239
[982] validation_0-rmse:0.27283 validation_1-rmse:0.35239
[983] validation_0-rmse:0.27259 validation_1-rmse:0.35218
[984] validation_0-rmse:0.27240 validation_1-rmse:0.35210
[985] validation_0-rmse:0.27222 validation_1-rmse:0.35195
[986] validation_0-rmse:0.27207 validation_1-rmse:0.35182
[987] validation_0-rmse:0.27203 validation_1-rmse:0.35179
[988] validation_0-rmse:0.27200 validation_1-rmse:0.35180
[989] validation_0-rmse:0.27186 validation_1-rmse:0.35172
[990] validation_0-rmse:0.27177 validation_1-rmse:0.35168
[991] validation_0-rmse:0.27170 validation_1-rmse:0.35164
[992] validation_0-rmse:0.27158 validation_1-rmse:0.35154
[993] validation_0-rmse:0.27153 validation_1-rmse:0.35154
[994] validation_0-rmse:0.27143 validation_1-rmse:0.35145
[995] validation_0-rmse:0.27113 validation_1-rmse:0.35122
[996] validation_0-rmse:0.27095 validation_1-rmse:0.35110
[997] validation_0-rmse:0.27087 validation_1-rmse:0.35106
[998] validation_0-rmse:0.27081 validation_1-rmse:0.35104
[999] validation_0-rmse:0.27067 validation_1-rmse:0.35097
>>> Using model to predict target TS_GF1_0.04_1 in unseen test data ...
>>> Using model to calculate permutation importance based on unseen test data ...
>>> Calculating prediction scores based on predicting unseen test data of TS_GF1_0.04_1 ...
>>> Collecting results, details about training and testing can be accessed by calling .report_traintest().
>>> Done.
================================
MODEL TRAINING & TESTING RESULTS
================================
## DATA
> target: TS_GF1_0.04_1
> features: 16 ['TA_T1_2_1', '.TA_T1_2_1-5', '.TA_T1_2_1-4', '.TA_T1_2_1-3', '.TA_T1_2_1-2', '.TA_T1_2_1-1', '.YEAR', '.SEASON', '.MONTH', '.WEEK', '.DOY', '.HOUR', '.YEARMONTH', '.YEARDOY', '.YEARWEEK', '.RECORDNUMBER']
> 350640 records (with missing)
> 331134 available records for target and all features (no missing values)
> training on 248350 records (75.0%) of 248350 features between 2005-09-09 10:15:00 and 2024-12-31 23:15:00
> testing on 82784 unseen records (25.0%) of TS_GF1_0.04_1 between 2005-09-09 09:45:00 and 2024-12-31 23:45:00
## MODEL
> the model was trained on training data (248350 records)
> the model was tested on test data (82784 values)
> estimator: XGBRegressor(base_score=None, booster=None, callbacks=None,
colsample_bylevel=None, colsample_bynode=None,
colsample_bytree=None, device=None, early_stopping_rounds=50,
enable_categorical=False, eval_metric=None, feature_types=None,
gamma=None, grow_policy=None, importance_type=None,
interaction_constraints=None, learning_rate=None, max_bin=None,
max_cat_threshold=None, max_cat_to_onehot=None,
max_delta_step=None, max_depth=None, max_leaves=None,
min_child_weight=None, missing=nan, monotone_constraints=None,
multi_strategy=None, n_estimators=1000, n_jobs=-1,
num_parallel_tree=None, random_state=42, ...)
> parameters: {'objective': 'reg:squarederror', 'base_score': None, 'booster': None, 'callbacks': None, 'colsample_bylevel': None, 'colsample_bynode': None, 'colsample_bytree': None, 'device': None, 'early_stopping_rounds': 50, 'enable_categorical': False, 'eval_metric': None, 'feature_types': None, 'gamma': None, 'grow_policy': None, 'importance_type': None, 'interaction_constraints': None, 'learning_rate': None, 'max_bin': None, 'max_cat_threshold': None, 'max_cat_to_onehot': None, 'max_delta_step': None, 'max_depth': None, 'max_leaves': None, 'min_child_weight': None, 'missing': nan, 'monotone_constraints': None, 'multi_strategy': None, 'n_estimators': 1000, 'n_jobs': -1, 'num_parallel_tree': None, 'random_state': 42, 'reg_alpha': None, 'reg_lambda': None, 'sampling_method': None, 'scale_pos_weight': None, 'subsample': None, 'tree_method': None, 'validate_parameters': None, 'verbosity': None}
> number of features used in model: 16
> names of features used in model: ['TA_T1_2_1', '.TA_T1_2_1-5', '.TA_T1_2_1-4', '.TA_T1_2_1-3', '.TA_T1_2_1-2', '.TA_T1_2_1-1', '.YEAR', '.SEASON', '.MONTH', '.WEEK', '.DOY', '.HOUR', '.YEARMONTH', '.YEARDOY', '.YEARWEEK', '.RECORDNUMBER']
## FEATURE IMPORTANCES
> feature importances were calculated based on unseen test data of TS_GF1_0.04_1 (82784 records).
> feature importances are showing permutation importances from 10 repeats
PERM_IMPORTANCE PERM_SD
.DOY 0.395893 0.001807
.TA_T1_2_1-5 0.065700 0.000251
.YEARDOY 0.043202 0.000162
.WEEK 0.039556 0.000177
TA_T1_2_1 0.037562 0.000179
.RECORDNUMBER 0.037157 0.000162
.YEARMONTH 0.035749 0.000180
.YEARWEEK 0.019466 0.000107
.SEASON 0.013684 0.000143
.TA_T1_2_1-3 0.012897 0.000093
.YEAR 0.012465 0.000066
.TA_T1_2_1-4 0.010632 0.000052
.TA_T1_2_1-2 0.008461 0.000063
.TA_T1_2_1-1 0.008454 0.000060
.HOUR 0.007350 0.000043
.MONTH 0.000629 0.000007
## MODEL SCORES
All scores were calculated based on unseen test data (82784 records).
> MAE: 0.2601240161563333 (mean absolute error)
> MedAE: 0.19719306516560753 (median absolute error)
> MSE: 0.12317727164177596 (mean squared error)
> RMSE: 0.3509661972922406 (root mean squared error)
> MAXE: 4.028560814412433 (max error)
> MAPE: 0.047 (mean absolute percentage error)
> R2: 0.9971875143076765
Gap-filling using final model ...
>>> Using final model on all data to predict target TS_GF1_0.04_1 ...
>>> Using final model on all data to calculate permutation importance ...
>>> Calculating prediction scores based on all data predicting TS_GF1_0.04_1 ...
>>> Predicting target TS_GF1_0.04_1 where all features are available ... predicted 350640 records.
>>> Collecting results for final model ...
>>> Filling 19506 missing records in target with predictions from final model ...
>>> Storing gap-filled time series in variable TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG ...
>>> Restoring original timestamp in results ...
>>> Combining predictions from full model and fallback model ...
===================
GAP-FILLING RESULTS
===================
Model scores and feature importances were calculated from high-quality predicted targets (19506 values, TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG where flag=1) in comparison to observed targets (331134 values, TS_GF1_0.04_1).
## TARGET
- first timestamp: 2005-01-01 00:15:00
- last timestamp: 2024-12-31 23:45:00
- potential number of values: 350640 values)
- target column (observed): TS_GF1_0.04_1
- missing records (observed): 19506 (cross-check from flag: 19506)
- target column (gap-filled): TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG (350640 values)
- missing records (gap-filled): 0
- gap-filling flag: FLAG_TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG_ISFILLED
> flag 0 ... observed targets (331134 values)
> flag 1 ... targets gap-filled with high-quality, all features available (19506 values)
> flag 2 ... targets gap-filled with fallback (0 values)
## FEATURE IMPORTANCES
- names of features used in model: ['.DOY', '.TA_T1_2_1-5', '.YEARDOY', '.WEEK', 'TA_T1_2_1', '.RECORDNUMBER', '.YEARMONTH', '.YEARWEEK', '.SEASON', '.TA_T1_2_1-3', '.YEAR', '.TA_T1_2_1-4', '.TA_T1_2_1-2', '.TA_T1_2_1-1', '.HOUR', '.MONTH']
- number of features used in model: 16
- permutation importances were calculated from 10 repeats.
PERM_IMPORTANCE PERM_SD
.DOY 0.395398 0.000607
.TA_T1_2_1-5 0.066163 0.000188
.YEARDOY 0.043318 0.000141
.WEEK 0.039847 0.000104
TA_T1_2_1 0.038235 0.000162
.RECORDNUMBER 0.037495 0.000046
.YEARMONTH 0.036054 0.000092
.YEARWEEK 0.019466 0.000045
.SEASON 0.013816 0.000104
.TA_T1_2_1-3 0.013220 0.000064
.YEAR 0.012467 0.000032
.TA_T1_2_1-4 0.010995 0.000049
.TA_T1_2_1-2 0.008683 0.000029
.TA_T1_2_1-1 0.008673 0.000026
.HOUR 0.007537 0.000037
.MONTH 0.000633 0.000002
## MODEL
The model was trained on a training set with test size 25.00%.
- estimator: XGBRegressor(base_score=None, booster=None, callbacks=None,
colsample_bylevel=None, colsample_bynode=None,
colsample_bytree=None, device=None, early_stopping_rounds=50,
enable_categorical=False, eval_metric=None, feature_types=None,
gamma=None, grow_policy=None, importance_type=None,
interaction_constraints=None, learning_rate=None, max_bin=None,
max_cat_threshold=None, max_cat_to_onehot=None,
max_delta_step=None, max_depth=None, max_leaves=None,
min_child_weight=None, missing=nan, monotone_constraints=None,
multi_strategy=None, n_estimators=1000, n_jobs=-1,
num_parallel_tree=None, random_state=42, ...)
- parameters: {'objective': 'reg:squarederror', 'base_score': None, 'booster': None, 'callbacks': None, 'colsample_bylevel': None, 'colsample_bynode': None, 'colsample_bytree': None, 'device': None, 'early_stopping_rounds': 50, 'enable_categorical': False, 'eval_metric': None, 'feature_types': None, 'gamma': None, 'grow_policy': None, 'importance_type': None, 'interaction_constraints': None, 'learning_rate': None, 'max_bin': None, 'max_cat_threshold': None, 'max_cat_to_onehot': None, 'max_delta_step': None, 'max_depth': None, 'max_leaves': None, 'min_child_weight': None, 'missing': nan, 'monotone_constraints': None, 'multi_strategy': None, 'n_estimators': 1000, 'n_jobs': -1, 'num_parallel_tree': None, 'random_state': 42, 'reg_alpha': None, 'reg_lambda': None, 'sampling_method': None, 'scale_pos_weight': None, 'subsample': None, 'tree_method': None, 'validate_parameters': None, 'verbosity': None}
## MODEL SCORES
- MAE: 0.21800864863021835 (mean absolute error)
- MedAE: 0.16619198131469703 (median absolute error)
- MSE: 0.08573985058123688 (mean squared error)
- RMSE: 0.29281367895171306 (root mean squared error)
- MAXE: 4.028560814412433 (max error)
- MAPE: 0.045 (mean absolute percentage error)
- R2: 0.9980459938565359


Fill TS_GF1_0.15_1
#
TARGET_COL = 'TS_GF1_0.15_1'
TARGET_GAPFILLED_COL = f'{TARGET_COL}_gfXG'
FLAG_GAPFILLED_COL = f'FLAG_{TARGET_GAPFILLED_COL}_ISFILLED'
# Dataframe for gap-filling
_df = pd.DataFrame()
_df[TARGET_COL] = df[TARGET_COL].copy()
_df['TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG'] = df['TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG'].copy()
# XGBoost
xgb = XGBoostTS(
input_df=_df,
target_col=TARGET_COL,
features_lag=[-10, -1],
features_lag_exclude_cols=None,
perm_n_repeats=10,
include_timestamp_as_features=True,
add_continuous_record_number=True,
n_estimators=1000,
random_state=42,
early_stopping_rounds=50,
n_jobs=-1
)
xgb.trainmodel(showplot_scores=False, showplot_importance=False)
xgb.report_traintest()
xgb.fillgaps(showplot_scores=False, showplot_importance=False)
xgb.report_gapfilling()
results = xgb.gapfilling_df_
# Add results to main data
df = pd.concat([df, results[[TARGET_GAPFILLED_COL, FLAG_GAPFILLED_COL]]], axis=1)
# Plot
plotdf = df[[TARGET_COL, TARGET_GAPFILLED_COL, FLAG_GAPFILLED_COL]].copy()
plotdf.plot(x_compat=True, title=TARGET_COL, subplots=True, figsize=(20, 6));
locs = (plotdf.index.year == 2011) & (plotdf.index.month == 8)
plotdf[locs].plot(x_compat=True, title=TARGET_COL, subplots=True, figsize=(20, 6));
Adding new data columns ...
++ Added new columns with timestamp info: ['.YEAR', '.SEASON', '.MONTH', '.WEEK', '.DOY', '.HOUR', '.YEARMONTH', '.YEARDOY', '.YEARWEEK']
++ Added new column .RECORDNUMBER with record numbers from 1 to 350640.
Training final model ...
>>> Training model <class 'xgboost.sklearn.XGBRegressor'> based on data between 2005-09-09 10:15:00 and 2024-12-31 23:45:00 ...
>>> Fitting model to training data ...
[0] validation_0-rmse:4.37232 validation_1-rmse:4.37077
[1] validation_0-rmse:3.10113 validation_1-rmse:3.10008
[2] validation_0-rmse:2.21736 validation_1-rmse:2.21684
[3] validation_0-rmse:1.60544 validation_1-rmse:1.60533
[4] validation_0-rmse:1.18834 validation_1-rmse:1.18870
[5] validation_0-rmse:0.90868 validation_1-rmse:0.90974
[6] validation_0-rmse:0.72410 validation_1-rmse:0.72602
[7] validation_0-rmse:0.60477 validation_1-rmse:0.60718
[8] validation_0-rmse:0.52486 validation_1-rmse:0.52731
[9] validation_0-rmse:0.47675 validation_1-rmse:0.47987
[10] validation_0-rmse:0.44742 validation_1-rmse:0.45064
[11] validation_0-rmse:0.42496 validation_1-rmse:0.42844
[12] validation_0-rmse:0.40834 validation_1-rmse:0.41165
[13] validation_0-rmse:0.39592 validation_1-rmse:0.39958
[14] validation_0-rmse:0.38581 validation_1-rmse:0.38956
[15] validation_0-rmse:0.37783 validation_1-rmse:0.38162
[16] validation_0-rmse:0.37080 validation_1-rmse:0.37443
[17] validation_0-rmse:0.36567 validation_1-rmse:0.36924
[18] validation_0-rmse:0.36188 validation_1-rmse:0.36550
[19] validation_0-rmse:0.35578 validation_1-rmse:0.35951
[20] validation_0-rmse:0.35176 validation_1-rmse:0.35565
[21] validation_0-rmse:0.34971 validation_1-rmse:0.35382
[22] validation_0-rmse:0.34591 validation_1-rmse:0.34987
[23] validation_0-rmse:0.34288 validation_1-rmse:0.34673
[24] validation_0-rmse:0.33998 validation_1-rmse:0.34383
[25] validation_0-rmse:0.33667 validation_1-rmse:0.34073
[26] validation_0-rmse:0.33451 validation_1-rmse:0.33877
[27] validation_0-rmse:0.33256 validation_1-rmse:0.33695
[28] validation_0-rmse:0.32976 validation_1-rmse:0.33411
[29] validation_0-rmse:0.32808 validation_1-rmse:0.33246
[30] validation_0-rmse:0.32616 validation_1-rmse:0.33077
[31] validation_0-rmse:0.32300 validation_1-rmse:0.32763
[32] validation_0-rmse:0.32013 validation_1-rmse:0.32497
[33] validation_0-rmse:0.31653 validation_1-rmse:0.32138
[34] validation_0-rmse:0.31441 validation_1-rmse:0.31929
[35] validation_0-rmse:0.31327 validation_1-rmse:0.31814
[36] validation_0-rmse:0.31116 validation_1-rmse:0.31604
[37] validation_0-rmse:0.30985 validation_1-rmse:0.31486
[38] validation_0-rmse:0.30709 validation_1-rmse:0.31209
[39] validation_0-rmse:0.30597 validation_1-rmse:0.31113
[40] validation_0-rmse:0.30434 validation_1-rmse:0.30960
[41] validation_0-rmse:0.30315 validation_1-rmse:0.30844
[42] validation_0-rmse:0.30093 validation_1-rmse:0.30613
[43] validation_0-rmse:0.29979 validation_1-rmse:0.30512
[44] validation_0-rmse:0.29914 validation_1-rmse:0.30451
[45] validation_0-rmse:0.29665 validation_1-rmse:0.30196
[46] validation_0-rmse:0.29444 validation_1-rmse:0.29985
[47] validation_0-rmse:0.29337 validation_1-rmse:0.29885
[48] validation_0-rmse:0.29182 validation_1-rmse:0.29742
[49] validation_0-rmse:0.29065 validation_1-rmse:0.29637
[50] validation_0-rmse:0.28934 validation_1-rmse:0.29508
[51] validation_0-rmse:0.28796 validation_1-rmse:0.29388
[52] validation_0-rmse:0.28612 validation_1-rmse:0.29221
[53] validation_0-rmse:0.28519 validation_1-rmse:0.29135
[54] validation_0-rmse:0.28443 validation_1-rmse:0.29073
[55] validation_0-rmse:0.28263 validation_1-rmse:0.28886
[56] validation_0-rmse:0.28098 validation_1-rmse:0.28726
[57] validation_0-rmse:0.27992 validation_1-rmse:0.28622
[58] validation_0-rmse:0.27858 validation_1-rmse:0.28495
[59] validation_0-rmse:0.27775 validation_1-rmse:0.28418
[60] validation_0-rmse:0.27636 validation_1-rmse:0.28279
[61] validation_0-rmse:0.27502 validation_1-rmse:0.28139
[62] validation_0-rmse:0.27431 validation_1-rmse:0.28073
[63] validation_0-rmse:0.27280 validation_1-rmse:0.27939
[64] validation_0-rmse:0.27177 validation_1-rmse:0.27835
[65] validation_0-rmse:0.27043 validation_1-rmse:0.27713
[66] validation_0-rmse:0.26922 validation_1-rmse:0.27606
[67] validation_0-rmse:0.26854 validation_1-rmse:0.27542
[68] validation_0-rmse:0.26781 validation_1-rmse:0.27475
[69] validation_0-rmse:0.26686 validation_1-rmse:0.27384
[70] validation_0-rmse:0.26610 validation_1-rmse:0.27313
[71] validation_0-rmse:0.26493 validation_1-rmse:0.27198
[72] validation_0-rmse:0.26402 validation_1-rmse:0.27107
[73] validation_0-rmse:0.26351 validation_1-rmse:0.27062
[74] validation_0-rmse:0.26262 validation_1-rmse:0.26981
[75] validation_0-rmse:0.26157 validation_1-rmse:0.26875
[76] validation_0-rmse:0.26075 validation_1-rmse:0.26795
[77] validation_0-rmse:0.26002 validation_1-rmse:0.26722
[78] validation_0-rmse:0.25870 validation_1-rmse:0.26594
[79] validation_0-rmse:0.25769 validation_1-rmse:0.26480
[80] validation_0-rmse:0.25700 validation_1-rmse:0.26421
[81] validation_0-rmse:0.25629 validation_1-rmse:0.26346
[82] validation_0-rmse:0.25518 validation_1-rmse:0.26244
[83] validation_0-rmse:0.25366 validation_1-rmse:0.26103
[84] validation_0-rmse:0.25342 validation_1-rmse:0.26087
[85] validation_0-rmse:0.25238 validation_1-rmse:0.25984
[86] validation_0-rmse:0.25114 validation_1-rmse:0.25863
[87] validation_0-rmse:0.25022 validation_1-rmse:0.25767
[88] validation_0-rmse:0.24973 validation_1-rmse:0.25724
[89] validation_0-rmse:0.24910 validation_1-rmse:0.25663
[90] validation_0-rmse:0.24842 validation_1-rmse:0.25605
[91] validation_0-rmse:0.24726 validation_1-rmse:0.25495
[92] validation_0-rmse:0.24686 validation_1-rmse:0.25461
[93] validation_0-rmse:0.24595 validation_1-rmse:0.25370
[94] validation_0-rmse:0.24510 validation_1-rmse:0.25285
[95] validation_0-rmse:0.24434 validation_1-rmse:0.25218
[96] validation_0-rmse:0.24382 validation_1-rmse:0.25175
[97] validation_0-rmse:0.24309 validation_1-rmse:0.25112
[98] validation_0-rmse:0.24268 validation_1-rmse:0.25085
[99] validation_0-rmse:0.24154 validation_1-rmse:0.24969
[100] validation_0-rmse:0.24088 validation_1-rmse:0.24914
[101] validation_0-rmse:0.23969 validation_1-rmse:0.24804
[102] validation_0-rmse:0.23885 validation_1-rmse:0.24729
[103] validation_0-rmse:0.23848 validation_1-rmse:0.24694
[104] validation_0-rmse:0.23823 validation_1-rmse:0.24669
[105] validation_0-rmse:0.23729 validation_1-rmse:0.24584
[106] validation_0-rmse:0.23681 validation_1-rmse:0.24541
[107] validation_0-rmse:0.23580 validation_1-rmse:0.24454
[108] validation_0-rmse:0.23497 validation_1-rmse:0.24373
[109] validation_0-rmse:0.23416 validation_1-rmse:0.24301
[110] validation_0-rmse:0.23352 validation_1-rmse:0.24237
[111] validation_0-rmse:0.23308 validation_1-rmse:0.24201
[112] validation_0-rmse:0.23287 validation_1-rmse:0.24181
[113] validation_0-rmse:0.23269 validation_1-rmse:0.24169
[114] validation_0-rmse:0.23185 validation_1-rmse:0.24088
[115] validation_0-rmse:0.23116 validation_1-rmse:0.24019
[116] validation_0-rmse:0.23060 validation_1-rmse:0.23975
[117] validation_0-rmse:0.22970 validation_1-rmse:0.23888
[118] validation_0-rmse:0.22890 validation_1-rmse:0.23812
[119] validation_0-rmse:0.22830 validation_1-rmse:0.23758
[120] validation_0-rmse:0.22805 validation_1-rmse:0.23734
[121] validation_0-rmse:0.22750 validation_1-rmse:0.23679
[122] validation_0-rmse:0.22713 validation_1-rmse:0.23648
[123] validation_0-rmse:0.22619 validation_1-rmse:0.23559
[124] validation_0-rmse:0.22584 validation_1-rmse:0.23533
[125] validation_0-rmse:0.22542 validation_1-rmse:0.23496
[126] validation_0-rmse:0.22494 validation_1-rmse:0.23461
[127] validation_0-rmse:0.22408 validation_1-rmse:0.23379
[128] validation_0-rmse:0.22380 validation_1-rmse:0.23359
[129] validation_0-rmse:0.22346 validation_1-rmse:0.23336
[130] validation_0-rmse:0.22312 validation_1-rmse:0.23301
[131] validation_0-rmse:0.22241 validation_1-rmse:0.23241
[132] validation_0-rmse:0.22186 validation_1-rmse:0.23192
[133] validation_0-rmse:0.22082 validation_1-rmse:0.23091
[134] validation_0-rmse:0.22041 validation_1-rmse:0.23057
[135] validation_0-rmse:0.21983 validation_1-rmse:0.23003
[136] validation_0-rmse:0.21932 validation_1-rmse:0.22951
[137] validation_0-rmse:0.21859 validation_1-rmse:0.22884
[138] validation_0-rmse:0.21788 validation_1-rmse:0.22817
[139] validation_0-rmse:0.21753 validation_1-rmse:0.22787
[140] validation_0-rmse:0.21702 validation_1-rmse:0.22741
[141] validation_0-rmse:0.21637 validation_1-rmse:0.22678
[142] validation_0-rmse:0.21611 validation_1-rmse:0.22651
[143] validation_0-rmse:0.21572 validation_1-rmse:0.22619
[144] validation_0-rmse:0.21492 validation_1-rmse:0.22545
[145] validation_0-rmse:0.21466 validation_1-rmse:0.22528
[146] validation_0-rmse:0.21419 validation_1-rmse:0.22493
[147] validation_0-rmse:0.21362 validation_1-rmse:0.22435
[148] validation_0-rmse:0.21312 validation_1-rmse:0.22388
[149] validation_0-rmse:0.21276 validation_1-rmse:0.22365
[150] validation_0-rmse:0.21238 validation_1-rmse:0.22326
[151] validation_0-rmse:0.21198 validation_1-rmse:0.22294
[152] validation_0-rmse:0.21159 validation_1-rmse:0.22258
[153] validation_0-rmse:0.21147 validation_1-rmse:0.22245
[154] validation_0-rmse:0.21106 validation_1-rmse:0.22212
[155] validation_0-rmse:0.21061 validation_1-rmse:0.22170
[156] validation_0-rmse:0.21041 validation_1-rmse:0.22160
[157] validation_0-rmse:0.20961 validation_1-rmse:0.22086
[158] validation_0-rmse:0.20932 validation_1-rmse:0.22058
[159] validation_0-rmse:0.20907 validation_1-rmse:0.22033
[160] validation_0-rmse:0.20865 validation_1-rmse:0.22003
[161] validation_0-rmse:0.20830 validation_1-rmse:0.21973
[162] validation_0-rmse:0.20750 validation_1-rmse:0.21901
[163] validation_0-rmse:0.20724 validation_1-rmse:0.21882
[164] validation_0-rmse:0.20682 validation_1-rmse:0.21844
[165] validation_0-rmse:0.20645 validation_1-rmse:0.21808
[166] validation_0-rmse:0.20599 validation_1-rmse:0.21765
[167] validation_0-rmse:0.20575 validation_1-rmse:0.21752
[168] validation_0-rmse:0.20533 validation_1-rmse:0.21714
[169] validation_0-rmse:0.20440 validation_1-rmse:0.21634
[170] validation_0-rmse:0.20387 validation_1-rmse:0.21582
[171] validation_0-rmse:0.20339 validation_1-rmse:0.21542
[172] validation_0-rmse:0.20280 validation_1-rmse:0.21476
[173] validation_0-rmse:0.20239 validation_1-rmse:0.21440
[174] validation_0-rmse:0.20198 validation_1-rmse:0.21404
[175] validation_0-rmse:0.20178 validation_1-rmse:0.21393
[176] validation_0-rmse:0.20115 validation_1-rmse:0.21332
[177] validation_0-rmse:0.20093 validation_1-rmse:0.21314
[178] validation_0-rmse:0.20074 validation_1-rmse:0.21302
[179] validation_0-rmse:0.20016 validation_1-rmse:0.21243
[180] validation_0-rmse:0.19979 validation_1-rmse:0.21210
[181] validation_0-rmse:0.19929 validation_1-rmse:0.21163
[182] validation_0-rmse:0.19894 validation_1-rmse:0.21134
[183] validation_0-rmse:0.19842 validation_1-rmse:0.21090
[184] validation_0-rmse:0.19804 validation_1-rmse:0.21046
[185] validation_0-rmse:0.19767 validation_1-rmse:0.21016
[186] validation_0-rmse:0.19701 validation_1-rmse:0.20954
[187] validation_0-rmse:0.19672 validation_1-rmse:0.20936
[188] validation_0-rmse:0.19634 validation_1-rmse:0.20899
[189] validation_0-rmse:0.19595 validation_1-rmse:0.20863
[190] validation_0-rmse:0.19566 validation_1-rmse:0.20835
[191] validation_0-rmse:0.19518 validation_1-rmse:0.20792
[192] validation_0-rmse:0.19479 validation_1-rmse:0.20756
[193] validation_0-rmse:0.19460 validation_1-rmse:0.20745
[194] validation_0-rmse:0.19395 validation_1-rmse:0.20686
[195] validation_0-rmse:0.19368 validation_1-rmse:0.20666
[196] validation_0-rmse:0.19319 validation_1-rmse:0.20619
[197] validation_0-rmse:0.19308 validation_1-rmse:0.20611
[198] validation_0-rmse:0.19279 validation_1-rmse:0.20585
[199] validation_0-rmse:0.19252 validation_1-rmse:0.20560
[200] validation_0-rmse:0.19216 validation_1-rmse:0.20523
[201] validation_0-rmse:0.19170 validation_1-rmse:0.20482
[202] validation_0-rmse:0.19133 validation_1-rmse:0.20448
[203] validation_0-rmse:0.19111 validation_1-rmse:0.20429
[204] validation_0-rmse:0.19077 validation_1-rmse:0.20399
[205] validation_0-rmse:0.19045 validation_1-rmse:0.20372
[206] validation_0-rmse:0.19029 validation_1-rmse:0.20357
[207] validation_0-rmse:0.19011 validation_1-rmse:0.20343
[208] validation_0-rmse:0.18983 validation_1-rmse:0.20327
[209] validation_0-rmse:0.18941 validation_1-rmse:0.20291
[210] validation_0-rmse:0.18880 validation_1-rmse:0.20230
[211] validation_0-rmse:0.18855 validation_1-rmse:0.20209
[212] validation_0-rmse:0.18841 validation_1-rmse:0.20200
[213] validation_0-rmse:0.18807 validation_1-rmse:0.20167
[214] validation_0-rmse:0.18780 validation_1-rmse:0.20149
[215] validation_0-rmse:0.18735 validation_1-rmse:0.20109
[216] validation_0-rmse:0.18716 validation_1-rmse:0.20095
[217] validation_0-rmse:0.18682 validation_1-rmse:0.20067
[218] validation_0-rmse:0.18636 validation_1-rmse:0.20022
[219] validation_0-rmse:0.18608 validation_1-rmse:0.19997
[220] validation_0-rmse:0.18571 validation_1-rmse:0.19967
[221] validation_0-rmse:0.18543 validation_1-rmse:0.19944
[222] validation_0-rmse:0.18508 validation_1-rmse:0.19916
[223] validation_0-rmse:0.18496 validation_1-rmse:0.19907
[224] validation_0-rmse:0.18490 validation_1-rmse:0.19901
[225] validation_0-rmse:0.18459 validation_1-rmse:0.19875
[226] validation_0-rmse:0.18425 validation_1-rmse:0.19841
[227] validation_0-rmse:0.18420 validation_1-rmse:0.19836
[228] validation_0-rmse:0.18377 validation_1-rmse:0.19794
[229] validation_0-rmse:0.18359 validation_1-rmse:0.19776
[230] validation_0-rmse:0.18321 validation_1-rmse:0.19743
[231] validation_0-rmse:0.18276 validation_1-rmse:0.19700
[232] validation_0-rmse:0.18246 validation_1-rmse:0.19671
[233] validation_0-rmse:0.18205 validation_1-rmse:0.19633
[234] validation_0-rmse:0.18152 validation_1-rmse:0.19584
[235] validation_0-rmse:0.18110 validation_1-rmse:0.19546
[236] validation_0-rmse:0.18090 validation_1-rmse:0.19533
[237] validation_0-rmse:0.18058 validation_1-rmse:0.19507
[238] validation_0-rmse:0.18007 validation_1-rmse:0.19459
[239] validation_0-rmse:0.17968 validation_1-rmse:0.19426
[240] validation_0-rmse:0.17952 validation_1-rmse:0.19414
[241] validation_0-rmse:0.17918 validation_1-rmse:0.19382
[242] validation_0-rmse:0.17885 validation_1-rmse:0.19351
[243] validation_0-rmse:0.17851 validation_1-rmse:0.19323
[244] validation_0-rmse:0.17819 validation_1-rmse:0.19298
[245] validation_0-rmse:0.17806 validation_1-rmse:0.19288
[246] validation_0-rmse:0.17787 validation_1-rmse:0.19270
[247] validation_0-rmse:0.17754 validation_1-rmse:0.19241
[248] validation_0-rmse:0.17715 validation_1-rmse:0.19212
[249] validation_0-rmse:0.17696 validation_1-rmse:0.19199
[250] validation_0-rmse:0.17685 validation_1-rmse:0.19193
[251] validation_0-rmse:0.17660 validation_1-rmse:0.19171
[252] validation_0-rmse:0.17631 validation_1-rmse:0.19151
[253] validation_0-rmse:0.17608 validation_1-rmse:0.19128
[254] validation_0-rmse:0.17564 validation_1-rmse:0.19089
[255] validation_0-rmse:0.17540 validation_1-rmse:0.19068
[256] validation_0-rmse:0.17526 validation_1-rmse:0.19058
[257] validation_0-rmse:0.17487 validation_1-rmse:0.19024
[258] validation_0-rmse:0.17468 validation_1-rmse:0.19015
[259] validation_0-rmse:0.17439 validation_1-rmse:0.18992
[260] validation_0-rmse:0.17427 validation_1-rmse:0.18984
[261] validation_0-rmse:0.17401 validation_1-rmse:0.18960
[262] validation_0-rmse:0.17353 validation_1-rmse:0.18916
[263] validation_0-rmse:0.17344 validation_1-rmse:0.18909
[264] validation_0-rmse:0.17324 validation_1-rmse:0.18894
[265] validation_0-rmse:0.17269 validation_1-rmse:0.18846
[266] validation_0-rmse:0.17248 validation_1-rmse:0.18831
[267] validation_0-rmse:0.17237 validation_1-rmse:0.18826
[268] validation_0-rmse:0.17220 validation_1-rmse:0.18811
[269] validation_0-rmse:0.17193 validation_1-rmse:0.18788
[270] validation_0-rmse:0.17164 validation_1-rmse:0.18764
[271] validation_0-rmse:0.17150 validation_1-rmse:0.18754
[272] validation_0-rmse:0.17122 validation_1-rmse:0.18731
[273] validation_0-rmse:0.17103 validation_1-rmse:0.18716
[274] validation_0-rmse:0.17093 validation_1-rmse:0.18709
[275] validation_0-rmse:0.17081 validation_1-rmse:0.18697
[276] validation_0-rmse:0.17038 validation_1-rmse:0.18656
[277] validation_0-rmse:0.17002 validation_1-rmse:0.18622
[278] validation_0-rmse:0.16974 validation_1-rmse:0.18598
[279] validation_0-rmse:0.16945 validation_1-rmse:0.18571
[280] validation_0-rmse:0.16917 validation_1-rmse:0.18546
[281] validation_0-rmse:0.16897 validation_1-rmse:0.18532
[282] validation_0-rmse:0.16880 validation_1-rmse:0.18517
[283] validation_0-rmse:0.16848 validation_1-rmse:0.18486
[284] validation_0-rmse:0.16814 validation_1-rmse:0.18457
[285] validation_0-rmse:0.16810 validation_1-rmse:0.18452
[286] validation_0-rmse:0.16777 validation_1-rmse:0.18419
[287] validation_0-rmse:0.16764 validation_1-rmse:0.18406
[288] validation_0-rmse:0.16733 validation_1-rmse:0.18383
[289] validation_0-rmse:0.16719 validation_1-rmse:0.18378
[290] validation_0-rmse:0.16702 validation_1-rmse:0.18365
[291] validation_0-rmse:0.16679 validation_1-rmse:0.18344
[292] validation_0-rmse:0.16658 validation_1-rmse:0.18329
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[891] validation_0-rmse:0.10013 validation_1-rmse:0.13095
[892] validation_0-rmse:0.10010 validation_1-rmse:0.13095
[893] validation_0-rmse:0.10004 validation_1-rmse:0.13090
[894] validation_0-rmse:0.10002 validation_1-rmse:0.13088
[895] validation_0-rmse:0.09997 validation_1-rmse:0.13086
[896] validation_0-rmse:0.09992 validation_1-rmse:0.13082
[897] validation_0-rmse:0.09988 validation_1-rmse:0.13079
[898] validation_0-rmse:0.09979 validation_1-rmse:0.13070
[899] validation_0-rmse:0.09966 validation_1-rmse:0.13058
[900] validation_0-rmse:0.09960 validation_1-rmse:0.13054
[901] validation_0-rmse:0.09956 validation_1-rmse:0.13054
[902] validation_0-rmse:0.09954 validation_1-rmse:0.13052
[903] validation_0-rmse:0.09945 validation_1-rmse:0.13046
[904] validation_0-rmse:0.09935 validation_1-rmse:0.13037
[905] validation_0-rmse:0.09930 validation_1-rmse:0.13034
[906] validation_0-rmse:0.09924 validation_1-rmse:0.13031
[907] validation_0-rmse:0.09918 validation_1-rmse:0.13026
[908] validation_0-rmse:0.09910 validation_1-rmse:0.13018
[909] validation_0-rmse:0.09904 validation_1-rmse:0.13015
[910] validation_0-rmse:0.09898 validation_1-rmse:0.13012
[911] validation_0-rmse:0.09893 validation_1-rmse:0.13009
[912] validation_0-rmse:0.09889 validation_1-rmse:0.13006
[913] validation_0-rmse:0.09883 validation_1-rmse:0.13002
[914] validation_0-rmse:0.09881 validation_1-rmse:0.13001
[915] validation_0-rmse:0.09875 validation_1-rmse:0.12995
[916] validation_0-rmse:0.09868 validation_1-rmse:0.12990
[917] validation_0-rmse:0.09864 validation_1-rmse:0.12987
[918] validation_0-rmse:0.09858 validation_1-rmse:0.12984
[919] validation_0-rmse:0.09854 validation_1-rmse:0.12982
[920] validation_0-rmse:0.09852 validation_1-rmse:0.12982
[921] validation_0-rmse:0.09850 validation_1-rmse:0.12979
[922] validation_0-rmse:0.09843 validation_1-rmse:0.12973
[923] validation_0-rmse:0.09838 validation_1-rmse:0.12971
[924] validation_0-rmse:0.09829 validation_1-rmse:0.12963
[925] validation_0-rmse:0.09824 validation_1-rmse:0.12958
[926] validation_0-rmse:0.09815 validation_1-rmse:0.12951
[927] validation_0-rmse:0.09809 validation_1-rmse:0.12947
[928] validation_0-rmse:0.09801 validation_1-rmse:0.12942
[929] validation_0-rmse:0.09798 validation_1-rmse:0.12941
[930] validation_0-rmse:0.09794 validation_1-rmse:0.12938
[931] validation_0-rmse:0.09792 validation_1-rmse:0.12939
[932] validation_0-rmse:0.09784 validation_1-rmse:0.12933
[933] validation_0-rmse:0.09781 validation_1-rmse:0.12933
[934] validation_0-rmse:0.09777 validation_1-rmse:0.12931
[935] validation_0-rmse:0.09775 validation_1-rmse:0.12931
[936] validation_0-rmse:0.09771 validation_1-rmse:0.12930
[937] validation_0-rmse:0.09766 validation_1-rmse:0.12928
[938] validation_0-rmse:0.09760 validation_1-rmse:0.12924
[939] validation_0-rmse:0.09756 validation_1-rmse:0.12922
[940] validation_0-rmse:0.09752 validation_1-rmse:0.12919
[941] validation_0-rmse:0.09745 validation_1-rmse:0.12913
[942] validation_0-rmse:0.09738 validation_1-rmse:0.12908
[943] validation_0-rmse:0.09728 validation_1-rmse:0.12901
[944] validation_0-rmse:0.09722 validation_1-rmse:0.12894
[945] validation_0-rmse:0.09717 validation_1-rmse:0.12892
[946] validation_0-rmse:0.09711 validation_1-rmse:0.12889
[947] validation_0-rmse:0.09705 validation_1-rmse:0.12884
[948] validation_0-rmse:0.09699 validation_1-rmse:0.12880
[949] validation_0-rmse:0.09697 validation_1-rmse:0.12880
[950] validation_0-rmse:0.09695 validation_1-rmse:0.12879
[951] validation_0-rmse:0.09691 validation_1-rmse:0.12877
[952] validation_0-rmse:0.09678 validation_1-rmse:0.12865
[953] validation_0-rmse:0.09672 validation_1-rmse:0.12860
[954] validation_0-rmse:0.09670 validation_1-rmse:0.12859
[955] validation_0-rmse:0.09666 validation_1-rmse:0.12856
[956] validation_0-rmse:0.09663 validation_1-rmse:0.12854
[957] validation_0-rmse:0.09660 validation_1-rmse:0.12853
[958] validation_0-rmse:0.09658 validation_1-rmse:0.12852
[959] validation_0-rmse:0.09652 validation_1-rmse:0.12847
[960] validation_0-rmse:0.09650 validation_1-rmse:0.12845
[961] validation_0-rmse:0.09648 validation_1-rmse:0.12845
[962] validation_0-rmse:0.09641 validation_1-rmse:0.12839
[963] validation_0-rmse:0.09634 validation_1-rmse:0.12836
[964] validation_0-rmse:0.09631 validation_1-rmse:0.12835
[965] validation_0-rmse:0.09623 validation_1-rmse:0.12832
[966] validation_0-rmse:0.09617 validation_1-rmse:0.12827
[967] validation_0-rmse:0.09614 validation_1-rmse:0.12825
[968] validation_0-rmse:0.09610 validation_1-rmse:0.12825
[969] validation_0-rmse:0.09603 validation_1-rmse:0.12820
[970] validation_0-rmse:0.09597 validation_1-rmse:0.12815
[971] validation_0-rmse:0.09591 validation_1-rmse:0.12813
[972] validation_0-rmse:0.09589 validation_1-rmse:0.12813
[973] validation_0-rmse:0.09587 validation_1-rmse:0.12812
[974] validation_0-rmse:0.09576 validation_1-rmse:0.12801
[975] validation_0-rmse:0.09572 validation_1-rmse:0.12798
[976] validation_0-rmse:0.09565 validation_1-rmse:0.12795
[977] validation_0-rmse:0.09559 validation_1-rmse:0.12790
[978] validation_0-rmse:0.09558 validation_1-rmse:0.12789
[979] validation_0-rmse:0.09555 validation_1-rmse:0.12788
[980] validation_0-rmse:0.09550 validation_1-rmse:0.12784
[981] validation_0-rmse:0.09544 validation_1-rmse:0.12779
[982] validation_0-rmse:0.09540 validation_1-rmse:0.12776
[983] validation_0-rmse:0.09533 validation_1-rmse:0.12772
[984] validation_0-rmse:0.09527 validation_1-rmse:0.12768
[985] validation_0-rmse:0.09525 validation_1-rmse:0.12767
[986] validation_0-rmse:0.09520 validation_1-rmse:0.12762
[987] validation_0-rmse:0.09518 validation_1-rmse:0.12762
[988] validation_0-rmse:0.09513 validation_1-rmse:0.12758
[989] validation_0-rmse:0.09509 validation_1-rmse:0.12756
[990] validation_0-rmse:0.09507 validation_1-rmse:0.12756
[991] validation_0-rmse:0.09499 validation_1-rmse:0.12749
[992] validation_0-rmse:0.09494 validation_1-rmse:0.12746
[993] validation_0-rmse:0.09491 validation_1-rmse:0.12745
[994] validation_0-rmse:0.09485 validation_1-rmse:0.12740
[995] validation_0-rmse:0.09482 validation_1-rmse:0.12738
[996] validation_0-rmse:0.09479 validation_1-rmse:0.12736
[997] validation_0-rmse:0.09476 validation_1-rmse:0.12736
[998] validation_0-rmse:0.09470 validation_1-rmse:0.12732
[999] validation_0-rmse:0.09464 validation_1-rmse:0.12729
>>> Using model to predict target TS_GF1_0.15_1 in unseen test data ...
>>> Using model to calculate permutation importance based on unseen test data ...
>>> Calculating prediction scores based on predicting unseen test data of TS_GF1_0.15_1 ...
>>> Collecting results, details about training and testing can be accessed by calling .report_traintest().
>>> Done.
================================
MODEL TRAINING & TESTING RESULTS
================================
## DATA
> target: TS_GF1_0.15_1
> features: 21 ['TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-10', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-9', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-8', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-7', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-6', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-5', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-4', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-3', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-2', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-1', '.YEAR', '.SEASON', '.MONTH', '.WEEK', '.DOY', '.HOUR', '.YEARMONTH', '.YEARDOY', '.YEARWEEK', '.RECORDNUMBER']
> 350640 records (with missing)
> 331848 available records for target and all features (no missing values)
> training on 248886 records (75.0%) of 248886 features between 2005-09-09 10:15:00 and 2024-12-31 23:45:00
> testing on 82962 unseen records (25.0%) of TS_GF1_0.15_1 between 2005-09-09 09:45:00 and 2024-12-31 20:15:00
## MODEL
> the model was trained on training data (248886 records)
> the model was tested on test data (82962 values)
> estimator: XGBRegressor(base_score=None, booster=None, callbacks=None,
colsample_bylevel=None, colsample_bynode=None,
colsample_bytree=None, device=None, early_stopping_rounds=50,
enable_categorical=False, eval_metric=None, feature_types=None,
gamma=None, grow_policy=None, importance_type=None,
interaction_constraints=None, learning_rate=None, max_bin=None,
max_cat_threshold=None, max_cat_to_onehot=None,
max_delta_step=None, max_depth=None, max_leaves=None,
min_child_weight=None, missing=nan, monotone_constraints=None,
multi_strategy=None, n_estimators=1000, n_jobs=-1,
num_parallel_tree=None, random_state=42, ...)
> parameters: {'objective': 'reg:squarederror', 'base_score': None, 'booster': None, 'callbacks': None, 'colsample_bylevel': None, 'colsample_bynode': None, 'colsample_bytree': None, 'device': None, 'early_stopping_rounds': 50, 'enable_categorical': False, 'eval_metric': None, 'feature_types': None, 'gamma': None, 'grow_policy': None, 'importance_type': None, 'interaction_constraints': None, 'learning_rate': None, 'max_bin': None, 'max_cat_threshold': None, 'max_cat_to_onehot': None, 'max_delta_step': None, 'max_depth': None, 'max_leaves': None, 'min_child_weight': None, 'missing': nan, 'monotone_constraints': None, 'multi_strategy': None, 'n_estimators': 1000, 'n_jobs': -1, 'num_parallel_tree': None, 'random_state': 42, 'reg_alpha': None, 'reg_lambda': None, 'sampling_method': None, 'scale_pos_weight': None, 'subsample': None, 'tree_method': None, 'validate_parameters': None, 'verbosity': None}
> number of features used in model: 21
> names of features used in model: ['TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-10', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-9', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-8', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-7', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-6', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-5', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-4', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-3', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-2', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-1', '.YEAR', '.SEASON', '.MONTH', '.WEEK', '.DOY', '.HOUR', '.YEARMONTH', '.YEARDOY', '.YEARWEEK', '.RECORDNUMBER']
## FEATURE IMPORTANCES
> feature importances were calculated based on unseen test data of TS_GF1_0.15_1 (82962 records).
> feature importances are showing permutation importances from 10 repeats
PERM_IMPORTANCE PERM_SD
.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-10 0.171001 0.000591
TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG 0.101636 0.000454
.DOY 0.067057 0.000274
.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-9 0.038266 0.000191
.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-7 0.023913 0.000140
.YEARMONTH 0.009845 0.000084
.YEARDOY 0.008693 0.000038
.WEEK 0.005000 0.000030
.RECORDNUMBER 0.004602 0.000021
.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-8 0.004187 0.000031
.YEARWEEK 0.003581 0.000022
.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-5 0.003025 0.000015
.YEAR 0.002775 0.000021
.HOUR 0.002376 0.000020
.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-3 0.001599 0.000008
.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-1 0.001250 0.000004
.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-4 0.001103 0.000004
.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-6 0.000920 0.000008
.MONTH 0.000512 0.000004
.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-2 0.000512 0.000003
.SEASON 0.000455 0.000006
## MODEL SCORES
All scores were calculated based on unseen test data (82962 records).
> MAE: 0.09239192780502478 (mean absolute error)
> MedAE: 0.06836024127685536 (median absolute error)
> MSE: 0.016202731346709492 (mean squared error)
> RMSE: 0.1272899499045761 (root mean squared error)
> MAXE: 2.227963451794434 (max error)
> MAPE: 0.011 (mean absolute percentage error)
> R2: 0.9995774893230212
Gap-filling using final model ...
>>> Using final model on all data to predict target TS_GF1_0.15_1 ...
>>> Using final model on all data to calculate permutation importance ...
>>> Calculating prediction scores based on all data predicting TS_GF1_0.15_1 ...
>>> Predicting target TS_GF1_0.15_1 where all features are available ... predicted 350640 records.
>>> Collecting results for final model ...
>>> Filling 18792 missing records in target with predictions from final model ...
>>> Storing gap-filled time series in variable TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG ...
>>> Restoring original timestamp in results ...
>>> Combining predictions from full model and fallback model ...
===================
GAP-FILLING RESULTS
===================
Model scores and feature importances were calculated from high-quality predicted targets (18792 values, TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG where flag=1) in comparison to observed targets (331848 values, TS_GF1_0.15_1).
## TARGET
- first timestamp: 2005-01-01 00:15:00
- last timestamp: 2024-12-31 23:45:00
- potential number of values: 350640 values)
- target column (observed): TS_GF1_0.15_1
- missing records (observed): 18792 (cross-check from flag: 18792)
- target column (gap-filled): TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG (350640 values)
- missing records (gap-filled): 0
- gap-filling flag: FLAG_TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG_ISFILLED
> flag 0 ... observed targets (331848 values)
> flag 1 ... targets gap-filled with high-quality, all features available (18792 values)
> flag 2 ... targets gap-filled with fallback (0 values)
## FEATURE IMPORTANCES
- names of features used in model: ['.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-10', 'TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG', '.DOY', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-9', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-7', '.YEARMONTH', '.YEARDOY', '.WEEK', '.RECORDNUMBER', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-8', '.YEARWEEK', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-5', '.YEAR', '.HOUR', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-3', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-1', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-4', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-6', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-2', '.MONTH', '.SEASON']
- number of features used in model: 21
- permutation importances were calculated from 10 repeats.
PERM_IMPORTANCE PERM_SD
.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-10 0.171312 0.000237
TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG 0.101757 0.000137
.DOY 0.066810 0.000111
.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-9 0.038233 0.000074
.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-7 0.023899 0.000045
.YEARMONTH 0.009844 0.000035
.YEARDOY 0.008696 0.000021
.WEEK 0.005006 0.000010
.RECORDNUMBER 0.004592 0.000009
.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-8 0.004206 0.000013
.YEARWEEK 0.003591 0.000011
.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-5 0.003040 0.000008
.YEAR 0.002795 0.000012
.HOUR 0.002393 0.000010
.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-3 0.001604 0.000003
.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-1 0.001275 0.000004
.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-4 0.001113 0.000003
.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-6 0.000927 0.000002
.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-2 0.000517 0.000001
.MONTH 0.000517 0.000001
.SEASON 0.000452 0.000001
## MODEL
The model was trained on a training set with test size 25.00%.
- estimator: XGBRegressor(base_score=None, booster=None, callbacks=None,
colsample_bylevel=None, colsample_bynode=None,
colsample_bytree=None, device=None, early_stopping_rounds=50,
enable_categorical=False, eval_metric=None, feature_types=None,
gamma=None, grow_policy=None, importance_type=None,
interaction_constraints=None, learning_rate=None, max_bin=None,
max_cat_threshold=None, max_cat_to_onehot=None,
max_delta_step=None, max_depth=None, max_leaves=None,
min_child_weight=None, missing=nan, monotone_constraints=None,
multi_strategy=None, n_estimators=1000, n_jobs=-1,
num_parallel_tree=None, random_state=42, ...)
- parameters: {'objective': 'reg:squarederror', 'base_score': None, 'booster': None, 'callbacks': None, 'colsample_bylevel': None, 'colsample_bynode': None, 'colsample_bytree': None, 'device': None, 'early_stopping_rounds': 50, 'enable_categorical': False, 'eval_metric': None, 'feature_types': None, 'gamma': None, 'grow_policy': None, 'importance_type': None, 'interaction_constraints': None, 'learning_rate': None, 'max_bin': None, 'max_cat_threshold': None, 'max_cat_to_onehot': None, 'max_delta_step': None, 'max_depth': None, 'max_leaves': None, 'min_child_weight': None, 'missing': nan, 'monotone_constraints': None, 'multi_strategy': None, 'n_estimators': 1000, 'n_jobs': -1, 'num_parallel_tree': None, 'random_state': 42, 'reg_alpha': None, 'reg_lambda': None, 'sampling_method': None, 'scale_pos_weight': None, 'subsample': None, 'tree_method': None, 'validate_parameters': None, 'verbosity': None}
## MODEL SCORES
- MAE: 0.07666475406991717 (mean absolute error)
- MedAE: 0.05819989577484108 (median absolute error)
- MSE: 0.010768673391665992 (mean squared error)
- RMSE: 0.10377221878550151 (root mean squared error)
- MAXE: 2.227963451794434 (max error)
- MAPE: 0.009 (mean absolute percentage error)
- R2: 0.9997193889979188


Fill TS_GF1_0.4_1
#
TARGET_COL = 'TS_GF1_0.4_1'
TARGET_GAPFILLED_COL = f'{TARGET_COL}_gfXG'
FLAG_GAPFILLED_COL = f'FLAG_{TARGET_GAPFILLED_COL}_ISFILLED'
# Dataframe for gap-filling
_df = pd.DataFrame()
_df[TARGET_COL] = df[TARGET_COL].copy()
_df['TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG'] = df['TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG'].copy()
_df['TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG'] = df['TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG'].copy()
# XGBoost
xgb = XGBoostTS(
input_df=_df,
target_col=TARGET_COL,
features_lag=[-10, -1],
features_lag_exclude_cols=None,
perm_n_repeats=10,
include_timestamp_as_features=True,
add_continuous_record_number=True,
n_estimators=1000,
random_state=42,
early_stopping_rounds=50,
n_jobs=-1
)
xgb.trainmodel(showplot_scores=False, showplot_importance=False)
xgb.report_traintest()
xgb.fillgaps(showplot_scores=False, showplot_importance=False)
xgb.report_gapfilling()
results = xgb.gapfilling_df_
# Add results to main data
df = pd.concat([df, results[[TARGET_GAPFILLED_COL, FLAG_GAPFILLED_COL]]], axis=1)
# Plot
plotdf = df[[TARGET_COL, TARGET_GAPFILLED_COL, FLAG_GAPFILLED_COL]].copy()
plotdf.plot(x_compat=True, title=TARGET_COL, subplots=True, figsize=(20, 6));
locs = (plotdf.index.year == 2011) & (plotdf.index.month == 8)
plotdf[locs].plot(x_compat=True, title=TARGET_COL, subplots=True, figsize=(20, 6));
Adding new data columns ...
++ Added new columns with timestamp info: ['.YEAR', '.SEASON', '.MONTH', '.WEEK', '.DOY', '.HOUR', '.YEARMONTH', '.YEARDOY', '.YEARWEEK']
++ Added new column .RECORDNUMBER with record numbers from 1 to 350640.
Training final model ...
>>> Training model <class 'xgboost.sklearn.XGBRegressor'> based on data between 2005-09-09 10:15:00 and 2024-12-31 23:15:00 ...
>>> Fitting model to training data ...
[0] validation_0-rmse:3.84965 validation_1-rmse:3.84616
[1] validation_0-rmse:2.71625 validation_1-rmse:2.71394
[2] validation_0-rmse:1.92710 validation_1-rmse:1.92541
[3] validation_0-rmse:1.38134 validation_1-rmse:1.38024
[4] validation_0-rmse:1.00683 validation_1-rmse:1.00627
[5] validation_0-rmse:0.75413 validation_1-rmse:0.75427
[6] validation_0-rmse:0.58644 validation_1-rmse:0.58703
[7] validation_0-rmse:0.47932 validation_1-rmse:0.48022
[8] validation_0-rmse:0.40890 validation_1-rmse:0.41008
[9] validation_0-rmse:0.36666 validation_1-rmse:0.36809
[10] validation_0-rmse:0.33937 validation_1-rmse:0.34114
[11] validation_0-rmse:0.31951 validation_1-rmse:0.32166
[12] validation_0-rmse:0.30753 validation_1-rmse:0.30984
[13] validation_0-rmse:0.29701 validation_1-rmse:0.29896
[14] validation_0-rmse:0.29050 validation_1-rmse:0.29268
[15] validation_0-rmse:0.28485 validation_1-rmse:0.28694
[16] validation_0-rmse:0.28087 validation_1-rmse:0.28314
[17] validation_0-rmse:0.27371 validation_1-rmse:0.27598
[18] validation_0-rmse:0.26941 validation_1-rmse:0.27179
[19] validation_0-rmse:0.26620 validation_1-rmse:0.26895
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[533] validation_0-rmse:0.07893 validation_1-rmse:0.09331
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[917] validation_0-rmse:0.05941 validation_1-rmse:0.07818
[918] validation_0-rmse:0.05940 validation_1-rmse:0.07817
[919] validation_0-rmse:0.05937 validation_1-rmse:0.07816
[920] validation_0-rmse:0.05936 validation_1-rmse:0.07815
[921] validation_0-rmse:0.05933 validation_1-rmse:0.07814
[922] validation_0-rmse:0.05927 validation_1-rmse:0.07809
[923] validation_0-rmse:0.05924 validation_1-rmse:0.07807
[924] validation_0-rmse:0.05923 validation_1-rmse:0.07806
[925] validation_0-rmse:0.05920 validation_1-rmse:0.07805
[926] validation_0-rmse:0.05914 validation_1-rmse:0.07799
[927] validation_0-rmse:0.05911 validation_1-rmse:0.07798
[928] validation_0-rmse:0.05907 validation_1-rmse:0.07795
[929] validation_0-rmse:0.05904 validation_1-rmse:0.07793
[930] validation_0-rmse:0.05900 validation_1-rmse:0.07790
[931] validation_0-rmse:0.05895 validation_1-rmse:0.07786
[932] validation_0-rmse:0.05890 validation_1-rmse:0.07782
[933] validation_0-rmse:0.05887 validation_1-rmse:0.07780
[934] validation_0-rmse:0.05881 validation_1-rmse:0.07774
[935] validation_0-rmse:0.05877 validation_1-rmse:0.07772
[936] validation_0-rmse:0.05874 validation_1-rmse:0.07769
[937] validation_0-rmse:0.05872 validation_1-rmse:0.07768
[938] validation_0-rmse:0.05869 validation_1-rmse:0.07767
[939] validation_0-rmse:0.05869 validation_1-rmse:0.07766
[940] validation_0-rmse:0.05864 validation_1-rmse:0.07763
[941] validation_0-rmse:0.05859 validation_1-rmse:0.07759
[942] validation_0-rmse:0.05855 validation_1-rmse:0.07758
[943] validation_0-rmse:0.05851 validation_1-rmse:0.07755
[944] validation_0-rmse:0.05848 validation_1-rmse:0.07754
[945] validation_0-rmse:0.05845 validation_1-rmse:0.07752
[946] validation_0-rmse:0.05839 validation_1-rmse:0.07749
[947] validation_0-rmse:0.05836 validation_1-rmse:0.07747
[948] validation_0-rmse:0.05832 validation_1-rmse:0.07744
[949] validation_0-rmse:0.05829 validation_1-rmse:0.07742
[950] validation_0-rmse:0.05826 validation_1-rmse:0.07740
[951] validation_0-rmse:0.05824 validation_1-rmse:0.07739
[952] validation_0-rmse:0.05821 validation_1-rmse:0.07737
[953] validation_0-rmse:0.05817 validation_1-rmse:0.07734
[954] validation_0-rmse:0.05815 validation_1-rmse:0.07733
[955] validation_0-rmse:0.05811 validation_1-rmse:0.07731
[956] validation_0-rmse:0.05806 validation_1-rmse:0.07726
[957] validation_0-rmse:0.05801 validation_1-rmse:0.07723
[958] validation_0-rmse:0.05800 validation_1-rmse:0.07723
[959] validation_0-rmse:0.05798 validation_1-rmse:0.07721
[960] validation_0-rmse:0.05794 validation_1-rmse:0.07718
[961] validation_0-rmse:0.05791 validation_1-rmse:0.07716
[962] validation_0-rmse:0.05790 validation_1-rmse:0.07716
[963] validation_0-rmse:0.05785 validation_1-rmse:0.07712
[964] validation_0-rmse:0.05779 validation_1-rmse:0.07707
[965] validation_0-rmse:0.05778 validation_1-rmse:0.07706
[966] validation_0-rmse:0.05772 validation_1-rmse:0.07700
[967] validation_0-rmse:0.05770 validation_1-rmse:0.07699
[968] validation_0-rmse:0.05765 validation_1-rmse:0.07695
[969] validation_0-rmse:0.05762 validation_1-rmse:0.07693
[970] validation_0-rmse:0.05759 validation_1-rmse:0.07691
[971] validation_0-rmse:0.05757 validation_1-rmse:0.07689
[972] validation_0-rmse:0.05754 validation_1-rmse:0.07686
[973] validation_0-rmse:0.05752 validation_1-rmse:0.07685
[974] validation_0-rmse:0.05752 validation_1-rmse:0.07684
[975] validation_0-rmse:0.05747 validation_1-rmse:0.07680
[976] validation_0-rmse:0.05745 validation_1-rmse:0.07680
[977] validation_0-rmse:0.05742 validation_1-rmse:0.07677
[978] validation_0-rmse:0.05738 validation_1-rmse:0.07676
[979] validation_0-rmse:0.05734 validation_1-rmse:0.07673
[980] validation_0-rmse:0.05732 validation_1-rmse:0.07672
[981] validation_0-rmse:0.05728 validation_1-rmse:0.07670
[982] validation_0-rmse:0.05726 validation_1-rmse:0.07669
[983] validation_0-rmse:0.05726 validation_1-rmse:0.07669
[984] validation_0-rmse:0.05723 validation_1-rmse:0.07666
[985] validation_0-rmse:0.05719 validation_1-rmse:0.07664
[986] validation_0-rmse:0.05716 validation_1-rmse:0.07662
[987] validation_0-rmse:0.05713 validation_1-rmse:0.07660
[988] validation_0-rmse:0.05709 validation_1-rmse:0.07657
[989] validation_0-rmse:0.05706 validation_1-rmse:0.07656
[990] validation_0-rmse:0.05703 validation_1-rmse:0.07653
[991] validation_0-rmse:0.05700 validation_1-rmse:0.07652
[992] validation_0-rmse:0.05696 validation_1-rmse:0.07648
[993] validation_0-rmse:0.05693 validation_1-rmse:0.07646
[994] validation_0-rmse:0.05690 validation_1-rmse:0.07646
[995] validation_0-rmse:0.05686 validation_1-rmse:0.07642
[996] validation_0-rmse:0.05683 validation_1-rmse:0.07640
[997] validation_0-rmse:0.05681 validation_1-rmse:0.07639
[998] validation_0-rmse:0.05677 validation_1-rmse:0.07637
[999] validation_0-rmse:0.05674 validation_1-rmse:0.07635
>>> Using model to predict target TS_GF1_0.4_1 in unseen test data ...
>>> Using model to calculate permutation importance based on unseen test data ...
>>> Calculating prediction scores based on predicting unseen test data of TS_GF1_0.4_1 ...
>>> Collecting results, details about training and testing can be accessed by calling .report_traintest().
>>> Done.
================================
MODEL TRAINING & TESTING RESULTS
================================
## DATA
> target: TS_GF1_0.4_1
> features: 32 ['TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG', 'TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-10', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-9', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-8', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-7', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-6', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-5', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-4', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-3', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-2', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-1', '.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-10', '.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-9', '.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-8', '.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-7', '.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-6', '.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-5', '.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-4', '.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-3', '.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-2', '.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-1', '.YEAR', '.SEASON', '.MONTH', '.WEEK', '.DOY', '.HOUR', '.YEARMONTH', '.YEARDOY', '.YEARWEEK', '.RECORDNUMBER']
> 350640 records (with missing)
> 331945 available records for target and all features (no missing values)
> training on 248958 records (75.0%) of 248958 features between 2005-09-09 10:15:00 and 2024-12-31 23:15:00
> testing on 82987 unseen records (25.0%) of TS_GF1_0.4_1 between 2005-09-09 09:45:00 and 2024-12-31 23:45:00
## MODEL
> the model was trained on training data (248958 records)
> the model was tested on test data (82987 values)
> estimator: XGBRegressor(base_score=None, booster=None, callbacks=None,
colsample_bylevel=None, colsample_bynode=None,
colsample_bytree=None, device=None, early_stopping_rounds=50,
enable_categorical=False, eval_metric=None, feature_types=None,
gamma=None, grow_policy=None, importance_type=None,
interaction_constraints=None, learning_rate=None, max_bin=None,
max_cat_threshold=None, max_cat_to_onehot=None,
max_delta_step=None, max_depth=None, max_leaves=None,
min_child_weight=None, missing=nan, monotone_constraints=None,
multi_strategy=None, n_estimators=1000, n_jobs=-1,
num_parallel_tree=None, random_state=42, ...)
> parameters: {'objective': 'reg:squarederror', 'base_score': None, 'booster': None, 'callbacks': None, 'colsample_bylevel': None, 'colsample_bynode': None, 'colsample_bytree': None, 'device': None, 'early_stopping_rounds': 50, 'enable_categorical': False, 'eval_metric': None, 'feature_types': None, 'gamma': None, 'grow_policy': None, 'importance_type': None, 'interaction_constraints': None, 'learning_rate': None, 'max_bin': None, 'max_cat_threshold': None, 'max_cat_to_onehot': None, 'max_delta_step': None, 'max_depth': None, 'max_leaves': None, 'min_child_weight': None, 'missing': nan, 'monotone_constraints': None, 'multi_strategy': None, 'n_estimators': 1000, 'n_jobs': -1, 'num_parallel_tree': None, 'random_state': 42, 'reg_alpha': None, 'reg_lambda': None, 'sampling_method': None, 'scale_pos_weight': None, 'subsample': None, 'tree_method': None, 'validate_parameters': None, 'verbosity': None}
> number of features used in model: 32
> names of features used in model: ['TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG', 'TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-10', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-9', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-8', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-7', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-6', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-5', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-4', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-3', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-2', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-1', '.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-10', '.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-9', '.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-8', '.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-7', '.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-6', '.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-5', '.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-4', '.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-3', '.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-2', '.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-1', '.YEAR', '.SEASON', '.MONTH', '.WEEK', '.DOY', '.HOUR', '.YEARMONTH', '.YEARDOY', '.YEARWEEK', '.RECORDNUMBER']
## FEATURE IMPORTANCES
> feature importances were calculated based on unseen test data of TS_GF1_0.4_1 (82987 records).
> feature importances are showing permutation importances from 10 repeats
PERM_IMPORTANCE PERM_SD
.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-10 0.910924 4.191212e-03
TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG 0.117828 5.271950e-04
.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-10 0.051647 1.730533e-04
.DOY 0.037540 1.830625e-04
.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-1 0.012493 5.285167e-05
.YEARMONTH 0.006508 3.958246e-05
.YEARDOY 0.005243 3.074491e-05
.WEEK 0.003683 2.900322e-05
.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-3 0.002831 1.271613e-05
.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-2 0.002777 1.054393e-05
.RECORDNUMBER 0.002218 1.132744e-05
.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-6 0.002186 1.055718e-05
.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-9 0.002062 1.302195e-05
.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-8 0.001934 8.811151e-06
.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-5 0.001931 1.072211e-05
.YEARWEEK 0.001765 7.576100e-06
.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-7 0.001140 6.361922e-06
.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-4 0.000874 5.121036e-06
TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG 0.000868 4.284329e-06
.HOUR 0.000824 4.861549e-06
.YEAR 0.000561 2.490840e-06
.SEASON 0.000443 4.675602e-06
.MONTH 0.000366 2.901963e-06
.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-9 0.000239 1.698292e-06
.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-3 0.000204 1.436919e-06
.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-6 0.000183 1.244100e-06
.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-8 0.000160 9.941143e-07
.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-7 0.000129 9.349745e-07
.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-5 0.000129 1.047667e-06
.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-1 0.000112 1.217784e-06
.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-4 0.000112 4.794149e-07
.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-2 0.000075 4.830482e-07
## MODEL SCORES
All scores were calculated based on unseen test data (82987 records).
> MAE: 0.05732237380665449 (mean absolute error)
> MedAE: 0.04440019134521478 (median absolute error)
> MSE: 0.005829624050677381 (mean squared error)
> RMSE: 0.07635197476606208 (root mean squared error)
> MAXE: 1.4030933332714852 (max error)
> MAPE: 0.006 (mean absolute percentage error)
> R2: 0.9998051035936195
Gap-filling using final model ...
>>> Using final model on all data to predict target TS_GF1_0.4_1 ...
>>> Using final model on all data to calculate permutation importance ...
>>> Calculating prediction scores based on all data predicting TS_GF1_0.4_1 ...
>>> Predicting target TS_GF1_0.4_1 where all features are available ... predicted 350640 records.
>>> Collecting results for final model ...
>>> Filling 18695 missing records in target with predictions from final model ...
>>> Storing gap-filled time series in variable TS_GF1_0.4_1_gfXG ...
>>> Restoring original timestamp in results ...
>>> Combining predictions from full model and fallback model ...
===================
GAP-FILLING RESULTS
===================
Model scores and feature importances were calculated from high-quality predicted targets (18695 values, TS_GF1_0.4_1_gfXG where flag=1) in comparison to observed targets (331945 values, TS_GF1_0.4_1).
## TARGET
- first timestamp: 2005-01-01 00:15:00
- last timestamp: 2024-12-31 23:45:00
- potential number of values: 350640 values)
- target column (observed): TS_GF1_0.4_1
- missing records (observed): 18695 (cross-check from flag: 18695)
- target column (gap-filled): TS_GF1_0.4_1_gfXG (350640 values)
- missing records (gap-filled): 0
- gap-filling flag: FLAG_TS_GF1_0.4_1_gfXG_ISFILLED
> flag 0 ... observed targets (331945 values)
> flag 1 ... targets gap-filled with high-quality, all features available (18695 values)
> flag 2 ... targets gap-filled with fallback (0 values)
## FEATURE IMPORTANCES
- names of features used in model: ['.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-10', 'TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-10', '.DOY', '.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-1', '.YEARMONTH', '.YEARDOY', '.WEEK', '.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-3', '.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-2', '.RECORDNUMBER', '.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-6', '.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-9', '.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-8', '.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-5', '.YEARWEEK', '.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-7', 'TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG', '.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-4', '.HOUR', '.YEAR', '.SEASON', '.MONTH', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-9', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-3', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-6', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-8', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-7', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-5', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-4', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-1', '.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-2']
- number of features used in model: 32
- permutation importances were calculated from 10 repeats.
PERM_IMPORTANCE PERM_SD
.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-10 0.913582 1.508894e-03
TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG 0.117840 1.833860e-04
.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-10 0.051775 7.082590e-05
.DOY 0.037550 6.256391e-05
.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-1 0.012480 1.998030e-05
.YEARMONTH 0.006545 1.941035e-05
.YEARDOY 0.005267 1.292859e-05
.WEEK 0.003640 1.163480e-05
.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-3 0.002829 5.248056e-06
.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-2 0.002780 4.424003e-06
.RECORDNUMBER 0.002217 5.748742e-06
.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-6 0.002181 4.479564e-06
.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-9 0.002068 1.783811e-06
.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-8 0.001937 4.110727e-06
.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-5 0.001922 3.467003e-06
.YEARWEEK 0.001755 3.503844e-06
.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-7 0.001141 1.961019e-06
TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG 0.000875 2.966801e-06
.TS_GF1_0.15_1_gfXG-4 0.000874 2.345641e-06
.HOUR 0.000840 3.242577e-06
.YEAR 0.000562 1.345561e-06
.SEASON 0.000438 2.682111e-06
.MONTH 0.000365 1.564226e-06
.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-9 0.000241 4.293217e-07
.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-3 0.000207 1.252524e-06
.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-6 0.000184 5.899445e-07
.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-8 0.000161 5.342488e-07
.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-7 0.000130 3.113134e-07
.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-5 0.000129 5.911704e-07
.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-4 0.000113 4.935562e-07
.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-1 0.000113 3.051964e-07
.TS_GF1_0.04_1_gfXG-2 0.000077 2.370518e-07
## MODEL
The model was trained on a training set with test size 25.00%.
- estimator: XGBRegressor(base_score=None, booster=None, callbacks=None,
colsample_bylevel=None, colsample_bynode=None,
colsample_bytree=None, device=None, early_stopping_rounds=50,
enable_categorical=False, eval_metric=None, feature_types=None,
gamma=None, grow_policy=None, importance_type=None,
interaction_constraints=None, learning_rate=None, max_bin=None,
max_cat_threshold=None, max_cat_to_onehot=None,
max_delta_step=None, max_depth=None, max_leaves=None,
min_child_weight=None, missing=nan, monotone_constraints=None,
multi_strategy=None, n_estimators=1000, n_jobs=-1,
num_parallel_tree=None, random_state=42, ...)
- parameters: {'objective': 'reg:squarederror', 'base_score': None, 'booster': None, 'callbacks': None, 'colsample_bylevel': None, 'colsample_bynode': None, 'colsample_bytree': None, 'device': None, 'early_stopping_rounds': 50, 'enable_categorical': False, 'eval_metric': None, 'feature_types': None, 'gamma': None, 'grow_policy': None, 'importance_type': None, 'interaction_constraints': None, 'learning_rate': None, 'max_bin': None, 'max_cat_threshold': None, 'max_cat_to_onehot': None, 'max_delta_step': None, 'max_depth': None, 'max_leaves': None, 'min_child_weight': None, 'missing': nan, 'monotone_constraints': None, 'multi_strategy': None, 'n_estimators': 1000, 'n_jobs': -1, 'num_parallel_tree': None, 'random_state': 42, 'reg_alpha': None, 'reg_lambda': None, 'sampling_method': None, 'scale_pos_weight': None, 'subsample': None, 'tree_method': None, 'validate_parameters': None, 'verbosity': None}
## MODEL SCORES
- MAE: 0.04700369088303114 (mean absolute error)
- MedAE: 0.03675746517089884 (median absolute error)
- MSE: 0.0038719013488385883 (mean squared error)
- RMSE: 0.06222460404726243 (root mean squared error)
- MAXE: 1.4030933332714852 (max error)
- MAPE: 0.005 (mean absolute percentage error)
- R2: 0.9998707183040998


Plot#
df.plot(x_compat=True, subplots=True, figsize=(20, 14));

Save to file#
OUTNAME = "17.3_CH-CHA_meteo10_2005-2024"
filepath = save_parquet(filename=OUTNAME, data=df)
# df.to_csv(f"{OUTNAME}.csv")
Saved file 17.3_CH-CHA_meteo10_2005-2024.parquet (0.406 seconds).
End of notebook.#
dt_string = datetime.now().strftime("%Y-%m-%d %H:%M:%S")
print(f"Finished. {dt_string}")
Finished. 2025-01-21 00:00:53